Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. The seat’s longstanding conservative tilt, reinforced by post-2020 redistricting, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5 percent. Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary while raising over $2.6 million, dwarfing Reynolds’s roughly $42,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national wave would be required to alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,602 Vol.
$23,602 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$23,602 Vol.
$23,602 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,849 Vol.
92%
民主党
$17,752 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. The seat’s longstanding conservative tilt, reinforced by post-2020 redistricting, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5 percent. Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary while raising over $2.6 million, dwarfing Reynolds’s roughly $42,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national wave would be required to alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$23,602終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. The seat’s longstanding conservative tilt, reinforced by post-2020 redistricting, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5 percent. Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary while raising over $2.6 million, dwarfing Reynolds’s roughly $42,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national wave would be required to alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,602終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 3, 2026, general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. The seat’s longstanding conservative tilt, reinforced by post-2020 redistricting, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 91.5 percent. Pfluger advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary while raising over $2.6 million, dwarfing Reynolds’s roughly $42,000. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong Democratic national wave would be required to alter the outcome, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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