Texas's 11th congressional district features a strong Republican structural advantage, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+22 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced as her party's nominee after defeating Pedro Ruiz. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and historical turnout patterns in the district's rural and energy-producing areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican aligns with these factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the timeline to the November 3 general election leaves little room for such shifts to materialize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,186 Vol.
$32,186 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$32,186 Vol.
$32,186 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$8,888 Vol.
94%
民主党
$23,298 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district features a strong Republican structural advantage, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+22 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced as her party's nominee after defeating Pedro Ruiz. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and historical turnout patterns in the district's rural and energy-producing areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican aligns with these factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the timeline to the November 3 general election leaves little room for such shifts to materialize.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$32,186終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 11th congressional district features a strong Republican structural advantage, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+22 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced as her party's nominee after defeating Pedro Ruiz. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and historical turnout patterns in the district's rural and energy-producing areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican aligns with these factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the timeline to the November 3 general election leaves little room for such shifts to materialize.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,186終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 11th congressional district features a strong Republican structural advantage, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index around R+22 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Claire Reynolds advanced as her party's nominee after defeating Pedro Ruiz. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and historical turnout patterns in the district's rural and energy-producing areas. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican aligns with these factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unexpected national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though the timeline to the November 3 general election leaves little room for such shifts to materialize.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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