Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote in Georgia's 12th Congressional District, while Democrat Ceretta Smith emerged from a June runoff as her party's nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and holds a Solid Republican rating from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in recent presidential and House voting. Allen's prior general-election margins exceeding 20 points have reinforced trader expectations that Republican candidates will prevail in November, with limited recent developments altering the underlying partisan balance or candidate dynamics ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,438 Vol.
$17,438 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
$17,438 Vol.
$17,438 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,376 Vol.
81%
民主党
$10,062 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote in Georgia's 12th Congressional District, while Democrat Ceretta Smith emerged from a June runoff as her party's nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and holds a Solid Republican rating from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in recent presidential and House voting. Allen's prior general-election margins exceeding 20 points have reinforced trader expectations that Republican candidates will prevail in November, with limited recent developments altering the underlying partisan balance or candidate dynamics ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$17,438終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote in Georgia's 12th Congressional District, while Democrat Ceretta Smith emerged from a June runoff as her party's nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and holds a Solid Republican rating from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in recent presidential and House voting. Allen's prior general-election margins exceeding 20 points have reinforced trader expectations that Republican candidates will prevail in November, with limited recent developments altering the underlying partisan balance or candidate dynamics ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,438終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote in Georgia's 12th Congressional District, while Democrat Ceretta Smith emerged from a June runoff as her party's nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+7 and holds a Solid Republican rating from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in recent presidential and House voting. Allen's prior general-election margins exceeding 20 points have reinforced trader expectations that Republican candidates will prevail in November, with limited recent developments altering the underlying partisan balance or candidate dynamics ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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