Incumbent Republican Rick Allen faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in Georgia's 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The race remains solidly Republican due to the district's R+7 partisan voting index, Allen's incumbency since 2015, and minimal Democratic infrastructure or fundraising. Allen advanced easily through the May primary, while forecasts from Cook Political Report and similar analysts have held steady at Safe or Solid Republican ratings with no late shifts in polling or candidate dynamics. Traders assign the Republican Party an 82% implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of competitive indicators that might alter the outcome in the final months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,985 Vol.
$27,985 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
82%
民主党
17%
$27,985 Vol.
$27,985 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$15,030 Vol.
82%
民主党
$12,955 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Allen faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in Georgia's 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The race remains solidly Republican due to the district's R+7 partisan voting index, Allen's incumbency since 2015, and minimal Democratic infrastructure or fundraising. Allen advanced easily through the May primary, while forecasts from Cook Political Report and similar analysts have held steady at Safe or Solid Republican ratings with no late shifts in polling or candidate dynamics. Traders assign the Republican Party an 82% implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of competitive indicators that might alter the outcome in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$27,985終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Allen faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in Georgia's 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The race remains solidly Republican due to the district's R+7 partisan voting index, Allen's incumbency since 2015, and minimal Democratic infrastructure or fundraising. Allen advanced easily through the May primary, while forecasts from Cook Political Report and similar analysts have held steady at Safe or Solid Republican ratings with no late shifts in polling or candidate dynamics. Traders assign the Republican Party an 82% implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of competitive indicators that might alter the outcome in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,985終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Allen faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in Georgia's 12th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The race remains solidly Republican due to the district's R+7 partisan voting index, Allen's incumbency since 2015, and minimal Democratic infrastructure or fundraising. Allen advanced easily through the May primary, while forecasts from Cook Political Report and similar analysts have held steady at Safe or Solid Republican ratings with no late shifts in polling or candidate dynamics. Traders assign the Republican Party an 82% implied probability, consistent with historical margins and the absence of competitive indicators that might alter the outcome in the final months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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