Georgia's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its northern Atlanta exurban composition and recent voting patterns, including the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin above 65 percent. Barry Loudermilk's retirement created an open-seat primary that drew multiple GOP contenders, culminating in a May 19 contest that advanced John Cowan and Rob Adkerson to a June 16 runoff while Democrat Chris Harden secured his party's nomination. Traders assign an 82 percent probability to the eventual Republican nominee prevailing in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan voting index, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive contest. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but is not viewed as a meaningful factor in the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
82%
民主党
18%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,023 Vol.
82%
民主党
$3,250 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its northern Atlanta exurban composition and recent voting patterns, including the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin above 65 percent. Barry Loudermilk's retirement created an open-seat primary that drew multiple GOP contenders, culminating in a May 19 contest that advanced John Cowan and Rob Adkerson to a June 16 runoff while Democrat Chris Harden secured his party's nomination. Traders assign an 82 percent probability to the eventual Republican nominee prevailing in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan voting index, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive contest. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but is not viewed as a meaningful factor in the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$7,273終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its northern Atlanta exurban composition and recent voting patterns, including the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin above 65 percent. Barry Loudermilk's retirement created an open-seat primary that drew multiple GOP contenders, culminating in a May 19 contest that advanced John Cowan and Rob Adkerson to a June 16 runoff while Democrat Chris Harden secured his party's nomination. Traders assign an 82 percent probability to the eventual Republican nominee prevailing in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan voting index, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive contest. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but is not viewed as a meaningful factor in the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,273終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 11th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat based on its northern Atlanta exurban composition and recent voting patterns, including the incumbent's 2024 reelection margin above 65 percent. Barry Loudermilk's retirement created an open-seat primary that drew multiple GOP contenders, culminating in a May 19 contest that advanced John Cowan and Rob Adkerson to a June 16 runoff while Democrat Chris Harden secured his party's nomination. Traders assign an 82 percent probability to the eventual Republican nominee prevailing in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's partisan voting index, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive contest. An independent candidate appears on the ballot but is not viewed as a meaningful factor in the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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