Georgia's 11th congressional district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and delivered Republican margins exceeding 30 points in the prior cycle, establishing a durable baseline advantage for the GOP nominee following incumbent Barry Loudermilk's retirement. John Cowan secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his party's May primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural positioning and limited recent shifts in local voting patterns. Factors that could narrow this gap include a substantial national partisan swing, late-cycle developments affecting candidate viability, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though such outcomes remain low-probability scenarios based on historical precedent in comparable districts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,506 Vol.
$25,506 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
10%
$25,506 Vol.
$25,506 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$19,018 Vol.
91%
民主党
$6,488 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th congressional district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and delivered Republican margins exceeding 30 points in the prior cycle, establishing a durable baseline advantage for the GOP nominee following incumbent Barry Loudermilk's retirement. John Cowan secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his party's May primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural positioning and limited recent shifts in local voting patterns. Factors that could narrow this gap include a substantial national partisan swing, late-cycle developments affecting candidate viability, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though such outcomes remain low-probability scenarios based on historical precedent in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$25,506終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 11th congressional district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and delivered Republican margins exceeding 30 points in the prior cycle, establishing a durable baseline advantage for the GOP nominee following incumbent Barry Loudermilk's retirement. John Cowan secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his party's May primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural positioning and limited recent shifts in local voting patterns. Factors that could narrow this gap include a substantial national partisan swing, late-cycle developments affecting candidate viability, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though such outcomes remain low-probability scenarios based on historical precedent in comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,506終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 11th congressional district features a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+12 and delivered Republican margins exceeding 30 points in the prior cycle, establishing a durable baseline advantage for the GOP nominee following incumbent Barry Loudermilk's retirement. John Cowan secured the Republican nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Chris Harden advanced from his party's May primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 90.5 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the seat's structural positioning and limited recent shifts in local voting patterns. Factors that could narrow this gap include a substantial national partisan swing, late-cycle developments affecting candidate viability, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban areas, though such outcomes remain low-probability scenarios based on historical precedent in comparable districts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問