Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in the November 2026 general election for Ohio's 15th congressional district. The seat's R+5 partisan voting index and solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts reflect its structural lean, reinforced by Carey's primary victory and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Leonard's narrow primary win has not altered the competitive landscape, with limited fundraising or polling shifts reported. Traders price Republican victory at 72.5 percent, aligning with incumbency advantages and historical margins that have kept the seat out of reach for Democrats despite statewide midterm dynamics. No major late developments have emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
73%
民主党
27%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,679 Vol.
73%
民主党
$3,041 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in the November 2026 general election for Ohio's 15th congressional district. The seat's R+5 partisan voting index and solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts reflect its structural lean, reinforced by Carey's primary victory and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Leonard's narrow primary win has not altered the competitive landscape, with limited fundraising or polling shifts reported. Traders price Republican victory at 72.5 percent, aligning with incumbency advantages and historical margins that have kept the seat out of reach for Democrats despite statewide midterm dynamics. No major late developments have emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$4,720終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in the November 2026 general election for Ohio's 15th congressional district. The seat's R+5 partisan voting index and solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts reflect its structural lean, reinforced by Carey's primary victory and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Leonard's narrow primary win has not altered the competitive landscape, with limited fundraising or polling shifts reported. Traders price Republican victory at 72.5 percent, aligning with incumbency advantages and historical margins that have kept the seat out of reach for Democrats despite statewide midterm dynamics. No major late developments have emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,720終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in the November 2026 general election for Ohio's 15th congressional district. The seat's R+5 partisan voting index and solid Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts reflect its structural lean, reinforced by Carey's primary victory and the district's consistent support for Republican candidates in recent cycles. Leonard's narrow primary win has not altered the competitive landscape, with limited fundraising or polling shifts reported. Traders price Republican victory at 72.5 percent, aligning with incumbency advantages and historical margins that have kept the seat out of reach for Democrats despite statewide midterm dynamics. No major late developments have emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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