Republican incumbent Max Miller's renomination without opposition, paired with the district's R+5 partisan voting index and solid Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP at 63.5%. The May 2026 primaries locked in Democrat Brian Poindexter as nominee after a crowded field, yet his limited fundraising and the seat's suburban-rural Cleveland composition limit Democratic upside absent a major national shift. Midterm dynamics and historical incumbent retention rates in comparable districts sustain the 37.5% Democratic implied probability while underscoring structural barriers for challengers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,468 Vol.
$19,468 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
64%
民主党
38%
$19,468 Vol.
$19,468 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,302 Vol.
64%
民主党
$12,166 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Max Miller's renomination without opposition, paired with the district's R+5 partisan voting index and solid Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP at 63.5%. The May 2026 primaries locked in Democrat Brian Poindexter as nominee after a crowded field, yet his limited fundraising and the seat's suburban-rural Cleveland composition limit Democratic upside absent a major national shift. Midterm dynamics and historical incumbent retention rates in comparable districts sustain the 37.5% Democratic implied probability while underscoring structural barriers for challengers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$19,468終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Max Miller's renomination without opposition, paired with the district's R+5 partisan voting index and solid Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP at 63.5%. The May 2026 primaries locked in Democrat Brian Poindexter as nominee after a crowded field, yet his limited fundraising and the seat's suburban-rural Cleveland composition limit Democratic upside absent a major national shift. Midterm dynamics and historical incumbent retention rates in comparable districts sustain the 37.5% Democratic implied probability while underscoring structural barriers for challengers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,468終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Max Miller's renomination without opposition, paired with the district's R+5 partisan voting index and solid Republican ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus favoring the GOP at 63.5%. The May 2026 primaries locked in Democrat Brian Poindexter as nominee after a crowded field, yet his limited fundraising and the seat's suburban-rural Cleveland composition limit Democratic upside absent a major national shift. Midterm dynamics and historical incumbent retention rates in comparable districts sustain the 37.5% Democratic implied probability while underscoring structural barriers for challengers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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