Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne seeks reelection in Texas’s 24th congressional district, where the new map and Donald Trump’s 57-41 percent margin from the prior cycle provide a structural edge. Van Duyne advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Kevin Burge secured his party’s nomination in the May 26 runoff. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with Van Duyne’s prior double-digit victories and the district’s suburban Dallas profile. These factors underpin traders’ 70 percent consensus on a Republican win, with the remaining probability reflecting typical general-election turnout variability and the six-month window until November 3 balloting. No major developments have altered the race’s competitive dynamics in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,468 Vol.
$26,468 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
69%
民主党
24%
$26,468 Vol.
$26,468 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,507 Vol.
69%
民主党
$14,961 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne seeks reelection in Texas’s 24th congressional district, where the new map and Donald Trump’s 57-41 percent margin from the prior cycle provide a structural edge. Van Duyne advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Kevin Burge secured his party’s nomination in the May 26 runoff. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with Van Duyne’s prior double-digit victories and the district’s suburban Dallas profile. These factors underpin traders’ 70 percent consensus on a Republican win, with the remaining probability reflecting typical general-election turnout variability and the six-month window until November 3 balloting. No major developments have altered the race’s competitive dynamics in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$26,468終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne seeks reelection in Texas’s 24th congressional district, where the new map and Donald Trump’s 57-41 percent margin from the prior cycle provide a structural edge. Van Duyne advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Kevin Burge secured his party’s nomination in the May 26 runoff. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with Van Duyne’s prior double-digit victories and the district’s suburban Dallas profile. These factors underpin traders’ 70 percent consensus on a Republican win, with the remaining probability reflecting typical general-election turnout variability and the six-month window until November 3 balloting. No major developments have altered the race’s competitive dynamics in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,468終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Beth Van Duyne seeks reelection in Texas’s 24th congressional district, where the new map and Donald Trump’s 57-41 percent margin from the prior cycle provide a structural edge. Van Duyne advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Kevin Burge secured his party’s nomination in the May 26 runoff. The Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, consistent with Van Duyne’s prior double-digit victories and the district’s suburban Dallas profile. These factors underpin traders’ 70 percent consensus on a Republican win, with the remaining probability reflecting typical general-election turnout variability and the six-month window until November 3 balloting. No major developments have altered the race’s competitive dynamics in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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