North Carolina’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Alma Adams in prior cycles. Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced after his primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, 2026, driven by these structural factors and limited Republican investment to date. A Republican victory would require an unusually favorable national political environment or significant late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,269 Vol.
$34,269 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$34,269 Vol.
$34,269 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,152 Vol.
95%
共和党
$18,117 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Alma Adams in prior cycles. Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced after his primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, 2026, driven by these structural factors and limited Republican investment to date. A Republican victory would require an unusually favorable national political environment or significant late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$34,269終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Alma Adams in prior cycles. Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced after his primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, 2026, driven by these structural factors and limited Republican investment to date. A Republican victory would require an unusually favorable national political environment or significant late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,269終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina’s 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins for incumbent Alma Adams in prior cycles. Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Jack Codiga advanced after his primary. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 94.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat on November 3, 2026, driven by these structural factors and limited Republican investment to date. A Republican victory would require an unusually favorable national political environment or significant late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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