Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, rated D+24 to D+26 on partisan voting indexes, and her consistent performance as incumbent, including a 74% victory in 2024. She easily won her March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga secured his nomination with limited resources and name recognition in a district centered on central Mecklenburg County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the structural barriers for any Republican challenger. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Adams, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have emerged as of mid-September 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$66,266 Vol.
$66,266 Vol.
2026/11/02
アルマ・アダムズ（民主党）
97%
ジャック・コディガ（共和党）
2%
$66,266 Vol.
$66,266 Vol.
2026/11/02
アルマ・アダムズ（民主党）
$17,082 Vol.
97%
ジャック・コディガ（共和党）
$49,184 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, rated D+24 to D+26 on partisan voting indexes, and her consistent performance as incumbent, including a 74% victory in 2024. She easily won her March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga secured his nomination with limited resources and name recognition in a district centered on central Mecklenburg County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the structural barriers for any Republican challenger. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Adams, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have emerged as of mid-September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$66,266終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, rated D+24 to D+26 on partisan voting indexes, and her consistent performance as incumbent, including a 74% victory in 2024. She easily won her March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga secured his nomination with limited resources and name recognition in a district centered on central Mecklenburg County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the structural barriers for any Republican challenger. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Adams, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have emerged as of mid-September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$66,266終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Alma Adams holds a commanding position in the NC-12 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, rated D+24 to D+26 on partisan voting indexes, and her consistent performance as incumbent, including a 74% victory in 2024. She easily won her March 2026 primary, while Republican Jack Codiga secured his nomination with limited resources and name recognition in a district centered on central Mecklenburg County. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the structural barriers for any Republican challenger. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Adams, or an unprecedented national Republican wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though none have emerged as of mid-September 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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