The solidly Republican tilt of Texas's 12th congressional district, reinforced by the 2025 redistricting map, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman emerged from her March 2026 primary in a district that delivered double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers and structural advantages in voter composition. No major developments since the primaries have altered this positioning, though general-election turnout patterns and any late national shifts could still influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,641 Vol.
$10,641 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
11%
$10,641 Vol.
$10,641 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,705 Vol.
90%
民主党
$2,936 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Texas's 12th congressional district, reinforced by the 2025 redistricting map, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman emerged from her March 2026 primary in a district that delivered double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers and structural advantages in voter composition. No major developments since the primaries have altered this positioning, though general-election turnout patterns and any late national shifts could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$10,641終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican tilt of Texas's 12th congressional district, reinforced by the 2025 redistricting map, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman emerged from her March 2026 primary in a district that delivered double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers and structural advantages in voter composition. No major developments since the primaries have altered this positioning, though general-election turnout patterns and any late national shifts could still influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,641終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican tilt of Texas's 12th congressional district, reinforced by the 2025 redistricting map, anchors trader consensus on a Republican victory in the 2026 general election. Incumbent Craig Goldman secured the GOP nomination without significant primary opposition, while Democrat Heli Rodriguez Prilliman emerged from her March 2026 primary in a district that delivered double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican, reflecting limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers and structural advantages in voter composition. No major developments since the primaries have altered this positioning, though general-election turnout patterns and any late national shifts could still influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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