Florida's 12th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a solidly Republican seat following spring 2026 redistricting that preserved its partisan character with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+17. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who announced his re-election bid in late April, faces limited primary opposition while nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders on August 18 confront structural turnout and fundraising disadvantages in a district where recent presidential margins have favored Republicans by double digits. These factors underpin trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,994 Vol.
$27,994 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
$27,994 Vol.
$27,994 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,781 Vol.
81%
民主党
$17,213 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a solidly Republican seat following spring 2026 redistricting that preserved its partisan character with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+17. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who announced his re-election bid in late April, faces limited primary opposition while nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders on August 18 confront structural turnout and fundraising disadvantages in a district where recent presidential margins have favored Republicans by double digits. These factors underpin trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$27,994終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a solidly Republican seat following spring 2026 redistricting that preserved its partisan character with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+17. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who announced his re-election bid in late April, faces limited primary opposition while nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders on August 18 confront structural turnout and fundraising disadvantages in a district where recent presidential margins have favored Republicans by double digits. These factors underpin trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,994終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th congressional district enters the 2026 cycle as a solidly Republican seat following spring 2026 redistricting that preserved its partisan character with a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+17. Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis, who announced his re-election bid in late April, faces limited primary opposition while nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the general election as Solid or Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders on August 18 confront structural turnout and fundraising disadvantages in a district where recent presidential margins have favored Republicans by double digits. These factors underpin trader consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing in November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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