Florida's 12th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with the incumbent Gus Bilirakis seeking another term after redistricting preserved its partisan character. The new map, enacted in spring 2026, shifted boundaries modestly into more competitive areas but left the district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+17 and projected Trump margins of 14-15 points. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Republican, while Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders face an uphill path in a district where Republican primary voters and general-election turnout patterns favor the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the baseline advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,994 Vol.
$27,994 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
19%
$27,994 Vol.
$27,994 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,781 Vol.
81%
民主党
$17,213 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with the incumbent Gus Bilirakis seeking another term after redistricting preserved its partisan character. The new map, enacted in spring 2026, shifted boundaries modestly into more competitive areas but left the district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+17 and projected Trump margins of 14-15 points. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Republican, while Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders face an uphill path in a district where Republican primary voters and general-election turnout patterns favor the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the baseline advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$27,994終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 12th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with the incumbent Gus Bilirakis seeking another term after redistricting preserved its partisan character. The new map, enacted in spring 2026, shifted boundaries modestly into more competitive areas but left the district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+17 and projected Trump margins of 14-15 points. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Republican, while Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders face an uphill path in a district where Republican primary voters and general-election turnout patterns favor the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the baseline advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,994終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 12th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterms, with the incumbent Gus Bilirakis seeking another term after redistricting preserved its partisan character. The new map, enacted in spring 2026, shifted boundaries modestly into more competitive areas but left the district with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+17 and projected Trump margins of 14-15 points. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid Republican, while Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it Likely Republican. Democratic primary contenders face an uphill path in a district where Republican primary voters and general-election turnout patterns favor the GOP nominee. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the baseline advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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