Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify the open-seat race as solid or safe for the GOP ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Daniel Webster's late-April retirement announcement opened the contest, yet multiple declared Republican primary candidates and the district's voting patterns sustain trader consensus around an 82.5% probability of a Republican victory. Democratic primary activity remains limited, with no developments indicating a competitive challenge capable of shifting the implied probability significantly toward the 15% Democratic outcome. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary results represent the next scheduled catalysts that could refine positioning before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,873 Vol.
$18,873 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
15%
$18,873 Vol.
$18,873 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,523 Vol.
83%
民主党
$11,350 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify the open-seat race as solid or safe for the GOP ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Daniel Webster's late-April retirement announcement opened the contest, yet multiple declared Republican primary candidates and the district's voting patterns sustain trader consensus around an 82.5% probability of a Republican victory. Democratic primary activity remains limited, with no developments indicating a competitive challenge capable of shifting the implied probability significantly toward the 15% Democratic outcome. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary results represent the next scheduled catalysts that could refine positioning before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$18,873終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify the open-seat race as solid or safe for the GOP ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Daniel Webster's late-April retirement announcement opened the contest, yet multiple declared Republican primary candidates and the district's voting patterns sustain trader consensus around an 82.5% probability of a Republican victory. Democratic primary activity remains limited, with no developments indicating a competitive challenge capable of shifting the implied probability significantly toward the 15% Democratic outcome. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary results represent the next scheduled catalysts that could refine positioning before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,873終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify the open-seat race as solid or safe for the GOP ahead of the August 18 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Daniel Webster's late-April retirement announcement opened the contest, yet multiple declared Republican primary candidates and the district's voting patterns sustain trader consensus around an 82.5% probability of a Republican victory. Democratic primary activity remains limited, with no developments indicating a competitive challenge capable of shifting the implied probability significantly toward the 15% Democratic outcome. Upcoming filing deadlines and primary results represent the next scheduled catalysts that could refine positioning before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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