Florida's 11th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Incumbent Daniel Webster's late-April retirement created an open-seat contest, yet multiple declared Republican primary candidates and the area's established voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 82.5 percent. Democratic primary participation stays limited, with no recent developments signaling a viable challenge that could narrow the gap toward the 15 percent Democratic probability. Filing deadlines and primary results in the coming months represent the next scheduled events that could influence positioning before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,870 Vol.
$18,870 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
15%
$18,870 Vol.
$18,870 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,520 Vol.
83%
民主党
$11,350 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Incumbent Daniel Webster's late-April retirement created an open-seat contest, yet multiple declared Republican primary candidates and the area's established voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 82.5 percent. Democratic primary participation stays limited, with no recent developments signaling a viable challenge that could narrow the gap toward the 15 percent Democratic probability. Filing deadlines and primary results in the coming months represent the next scheduled events that could influence positioning before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$18,870終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Incumbent Daniel Webster's late-April retirement created an open-seat contest, yet multiple declared Republican primary candidates and the area's established voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 82.5 percent. Democratic primary participation stays limited, with no recent developments signaling a viable challenge that could narrow the gap toward the 15 percent Democratic probability. Filing deadlines and primary results in the coming months represent the next scheduled events that could influence positioning before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,870終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from nonpartisan analysts ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Incumbent Daniel Webster's late-April retirement created an open-seat contest, yet multiple declared Republican primary candidates and the area's established voting patterns underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome at 82.5 percent. Democratic primary participation stays limited, with no recent developments signaling a viable challenge that could narrow the gap toward the 15 percent Democratic probability. Filing deadlines and primary results in the coming months represent the next scheduled events that could influence positioning before the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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