The district’s Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Longtime incumbent Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and seeking reelection, has maintained strong primary and general-election margins in prior cycles. The June 23 Republican primary, where Harris holds a clear advantage over challenger Christopher Bruneau, and the November 3 general election timeline further stabilize positioning ahead of the vote. Democratic candidates have emerged but face structural headwinds in this Eastern Shore and suburban Baltimore district. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the established outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
65%
民主党
35%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,437 Vol.
65%
民主党
$3,537 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Longtime incumbent Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and seeking reelection, has maintained strong primary and general-election margins in prior cycles. The June 23 Republican primary, where Harris holds a clear advantage over challenger Christopher Bruneau, and the November 3 general election timeline further stabilize positioning ahead of the vote. Democratic candidates have emerged but face structural headwinds in this Eastern Shore and suburban Baltimore district. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the established outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$8,974終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Longtime incumbent Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and seeking reelection, has maintained strong primary and general-election margins in prior cycles. The June 23 Republican primary, where Harris holds a clear advantage over challenger Christopher Bruneau, and the November 3 general election timeline further stabilize positioning ahead of the vote. Democratic candidates have emerged but face structural headwinds in this Eastern Shore and suburban Baltimore district. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the established outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,974終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s Republican lean, reflected in an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Longtime incumbent Andy Harris, first elected in 2010 and seeking reelection, has maintained strong primary and general-election margins in prior cycles. The June 23 Republican primary, where Harris holds a clear advantage over challenger Christopher Bruneau, and the November 3 general election timeline further stabilize positioning ahead of the vote. Democratic candidates have emerged but face structural headwinds in this Eastern Shore and suburban Baltimore district. No major developments in recent weeks have altered the established outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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