The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 1st congressional district due to the seat's consistent R+8 partisan voting index, the incumbent's long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance that eliminated challengers with roughly 80% support. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and historical margins exceeding 10 points even in competitive cycles. A recent general-election poll showed the Republican ahead by double digits. With the November general election still months away, only major late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or dramatic turnout surge among opposition voters would realistically alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$57,815 Vol.
$57,815 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
4%
$57,815 Vol.
$57,815 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$33,314 Vol.
94%
民主党
$24,501 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 1st congressional district due to the seat's consistent R+8 partisan voting index, the incumbent's long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance that eliminated challengers with roughly 80% support. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and historical margins exceeding 10 points even in competitive cycles. A recent general-election poll showed the Republican ahead by double digits. With the November general election still months away, only major late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or dramatic turnout surge among opposition voters would realistically alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$57,815終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 1st congressional district due to the seat's consistent R+8 partisan voting index, the incumbent's long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance that eliminated challengers with roughly 80% support. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and historical margins exceeding 10 points even in competitive cycles. A recent general-election poll showed the Republican ahead by double digits. With the November general election still months away, only major late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or dramatic turnout surge among opposition voters would realistically alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$57,815終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding lead in Maryland's 1st congressional district due to the seat's consistent R+8 partisan voting index, the incumbent's long tenure since 2011, and strong primary performance that eliminated challengers with roughly 80% support. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and historical margins exceeding 10 points even in competitive cycles. A recent general-election poll showed the Republican ahead by double digits. With the November general election still months away, only major late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or dramatic turnout surge among opposition voters would realistically alter the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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