Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st Congressional District race due to her long incumbency since 2009, repeated comfortable reelection margins including 58.1% in 2024, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchored by Portland and coastal areas. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its structural advantages and limited competitiveness. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee and 2024 rematch opponent, secured his primary in June 2026 but trails sharply in fundraising and faces the same barriers that produced a more than 20-point loss previously. Trader consensus aligns with this history and the absence of recent polling or events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,036 Vol.
$45,036 Vol.
2026/11/02
チェリー・ピングリー（民主党）
95%
ロナルド・ラッセル（共和党）
3%
$45,036 Vol.
$45,036 Vol.
2026/11/02
チェリー・ピングリー（民主党）
$30,135 Vol.
95%
ロナルド・ラッセル（共和党）
$14,900 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st Congressional District race due to her long incumbency since 2009, repeated comfortable reelection margins including 58.1% in 2024, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchored by Portland and coastal areas. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its structural advantages and limited competitiveness. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee and 2024 rematch opponent, secured his primary in June 2026 but trails sharply in fundraising and faces the same barriers that produced a more than 20-point loss previously. Trader consensus aligns with this history and the absence of recent polling or events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$45,036終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st Congressional District race due to her long incumbency since 2009, repeated comfortable reelection margins including 58.1% in 2024, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchored by Portland and coastal areas. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its structural advantages and limited competitiveness. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee and 2024 rematch opponent, secured his primary in June 2026 but trails sharply in fundraising and faces the same barriers that produced a more than 20-point loss previously. Trader consensus aligns with this history and the absence of recent polling or events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,036終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Chellie Pingree holds a commanding position in Maine’s 1st Congressional District race due to her long incumbency since 2009, repeated comfortable reelection margins including 58.1% in 2024, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean anchored by Portland and coastal areas. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting its structural advantages and limited competitiveness. Ronald Russell, the Republican nominee and 2024 rematch opponent, secured his primary in June 2026 but trails sharply in fundraising and faces the same barriers that produced a more than 20-point loss previously. Trader consensus aligns with this history and the absence of recent polling or events that would narrow the gap ahead of the November 3 general election. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問