Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 9 primary, while Republican Ronald Russell advanced from a contested primary to face her again in November. Maine's 1st District, encompassing Portland and surrounding coastal and southern counties, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Pingree's 2024 victory by a double-digit margin. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, the incumbent's long tenure since 2008, and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,271 Vol.
$37,271 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$37,271 Vol.
$37,271 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$28,821 Vol.
94%
共和党
$8,449 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 9 primary, while Republican Ronald Russell advanced from a contested primary to face her again in November. Maine's 1st District, encompassing Portland and surrounding coastal and southern counties, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Pingree's 2024 victory by a double-digit margin. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, the incumbent's long tenure since 2008, and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$37,271終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 9 primary, while Republican Ronald Russell advanced from a contested primary to face her again in November. Maine's 1st District, encompassing Portland and surrounding coastal and southern counties, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Pingree's 2024 victory by a double-digit margin. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, the incumbent's long tenure since 2008, and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,271終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Chellie Pingree secured her party's nomination without opposition in the June 9 primary, while Republican Ronald Russell advanced from a contested primary to face her again in November. Maine's 1st District, encompassing Portland and surrounding coastal and southern counties, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including Pingree's 2024 victory by a double-digit margin. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's partisan lean, the incumbent's long tenure since 2008, and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 93.5% implied probability of victory. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or late-breaking scandal could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current fundamentals.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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