Chellie Pingree's long incumbency in Maine's 1st Congressional District, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus on her strong position for the November 2026 general election. The district, encompassing Portland and southern coastal areas, has not elected a Republican since the mid-1990s. Ronald Russell, the 2024 nominee and recent June primary winner, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising relative to Pingree and non-competitive race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Late developments like national partisan swings or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though primary results and historical voting patterns show no signs of such shifts as of mid-September 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,036 Vol.
$45,036 Vol.
2026/11/02
チェリー・ピングリー（民主党）
95%
ロナルド・ラッセル（共和党）
3%
$45,036 Vol.
$45,036 Vol.
2026/11/02
チェリー・ピングリー（民主党）
$30,135 Vol.
95%
ロナルド・ラッセル（共和党）
$14,900 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree's long incumbency in Maine's 1st Congressional District, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus on her strong position for the November 2026 general election. The district, encompassing Portland and southern coastal areas, has not elected a Republican since the mid-1990s. Ronald Russell, the 2024 nominee and recent June primary winner, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising relative to Pingree and non-competitive race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Late developments like national partisan swings or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though primary results and historical voting patterns show no signs of such shifts as of mid-September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$45,036終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Chellie Pingree's long incumbency in Maine's 1st Congressional District, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus on her strong position for the November 2026 general election. The district, encompassing Portland and southern coastal areas, has not elected a Republican since the mid-1990s. Ronald Russell, the 2024 nominee and recent June primary winner, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising relative to Pingree and non-competitive race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Late developments like national partisan swings or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though primary results and historical voting patterns show no signs of such shifts as of mid-September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,036終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Chellie Pingree's long incumbency in Maine's 1st Congressional District, combined with the area's consistent Democratic lean and her 2024 reelection margin exceeding 20 points, underpins trader consensus on her strong position for the November 2026 general election. The district, encompassing Portland and southern coastal areas, has not elected a Republican since the mid-1990s. Ronald Russell, the 2024 nominee and recent June primary winner, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising relative to Pingree and non-competitive race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Late developments like national partisan swings or unforeseen candidate issues could narrow the gap, though primary results and historical voting patterns show no signs of such shifts as of mid-September 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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