Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest against minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,629 Vol.
$24,629 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
5%
$24,629 Vol.
$24,629 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$12,596 Vol.
96%
共和党
$12,034 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest against minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$24,629終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest against minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,629終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district carries a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and delivered an 18-point Democratic margin in 2024, anchoring trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. secured the Democratic primary with roughly 85% of the vote in June, while Republican Dave Wallace advanced from a low-turnout contest against minimal opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Olszewski's substantial cash-on-hand advantage further reinforces the position. A national Republican surge, major scandal, or health event could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district's consistent partisan baseline and early candidate consolidation limit realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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