Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski is seeking re-election against a limited Republican primary field, with both parties holding June 23 primaries ahead of the November general election. The district's voter registration edge and historical turnout patterns have produced safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, limiting any realistic path for Republican gains absent extraordinary shifts in turnout or candidate developments. Late-breaking factors such as primary surprises or national political waves remain the primary variables that could still influence final positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,647 Vol.
$10,647 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$10,647 Vol.
$10,647 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,466 Vol.
95%
共和党
$2,181 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski is seeking re-election against a limited Republican primary field, with both parties holding June 23 primaries ahead of the November general election. The district's voter registration edge and historical turnout patterns have produced safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, limiting any realistic path for Republican gains absent extraordinary shifts in turnout or candidate developments. Late-breaking factors such as primary surprises or national political waves remain the primary variables that could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$10,647終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski is seeking re-election against a limited Republican primary field, with both parties holding June 23 primaries ahead of the November general election. The district's voter registration edge and historical turnout patterns have produced safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, limiting any realistic path for Republican gains absent extraordinary shifts in turnout or candidate developments. Late-breaking factors such as primary surprises or national political waves remain the primary variables that could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,647終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski is seeking re-election against a limited Republican primary field, with both parties holding June 23 primaries ahead of the November general election. The district's voter registration edge and historical turnout patterns have produced safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, limiting any realistic path for Republican gains absent extraordinary shifts in turnout or candidate developments. Late-breaking factors such as primary surprises or national political waves remain the primary variables that could still influence final positioning.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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