The Illinois 16th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and rural character across central and northern counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election. This matchup in a district LaHood has held since redistricting has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With no significant developments or challengers emerging in the past month, market pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition that have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,429 Vol.
$15,429 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
89%
民主党
12%
$15,429 Vol.
$15,429 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,149 Vol.
89%
民主党
$11,280 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 16th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and rural character across central and northern counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election. This matchup in a district LaHood has held since redistricting has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With no significant developments or challengers emerging in the past month, market pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition that have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,429終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 16th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and rural character across central and northern counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election. This matchup in a district LaHood has held since redistricting has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With no significant developments or challengers emerging in the past month, market pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition that have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,429終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 16th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and rural character across central and northern counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election. This matchup in a district LaHood has held since redistricting has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With no significant developments or challengers emerging in the past month, market pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition that have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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