The Illinois 16th congressional district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and rural composition across northern and central counties drive the strong Republican edge, with traders assigning an 88.5% implied probability to the GOP nominee. Incumbent Darin LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 17, 2026, Republican primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Paul Nolley. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with LaHood's prior double-digit victories. No recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the fundamentals, leaving the outcome aligned with the district's established partisan baseline and the advantages of incumbency heading into the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,479 Vol.
$15,479 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
89%
民主党
12%
$15,479 Vol.
$15,479 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,149 Vol.
89%
民主党
$11,330 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 16th congressional district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and rural composition across northern and central counties drive the strong Republican edge, with traders assigning an 88.5% implied probability to the GOP nominee. Incumbent Darin LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 17, 2026, Republican primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Paul Nolley. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with LaHood's prior double-digit victories. No recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the fundamentals, leaving the outcome aligned with the district's established partisan baseline and the advantages of incumbency heading into the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,479終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 16th congressional district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and rural composition across northern and central counties drive the strong Republican edge, with traders assigning an 88.5% implied probability to the GOP nominee. Incumbent Darin LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 17, 2026, Republican primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Paul Nolley. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with LaHood's prior double-digit victories. No recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the fundamentals, leaving the outcome aligned with the district's established partisan baseline and the advantages of incumbency heading into the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,479終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 16th congressional district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and rural composition across northern and central counties drive the strong Republican edge, with traders assigning an 88.5% implied probability to the GOP nominee. Incumbent Darin LaHood advanced unopposed through the March 17, 2026, Republican primary and enters the November general election against Democrat Paul Nolley. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with LaHood's prior double-digit victories. No recent polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have altered the fundamentals, leaving the outcome aligned with the district's established partisan baseline and the advantages of incumbency heading into the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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