Republican incumbent Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his uncontested March 2026 Republican primary. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with LaHood’s established family name in the region and focus on constituent priorities such as affordability and trade, has limited Democratic inroads. His opponent, Paul Nolley, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican-leaning area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe Republican territory. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national economic developments, unexpected turnout surges, or candidate-specific events, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest these factors would need substantial magnitude to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,808 Vol.
$25,808 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
$25,808 Vol.
$25,808 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,164 Vol.
91%
民主党
$16,644 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his uncontested March 2026 Republican primary. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with LaHood’s established family name in the region and focus on constituent priorities such as affordability and trade, has limited Democratic inroads. His opponent, Paul Nolley, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican-leaning area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe Republican territory. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national economic developments, unexpected turnout surges, or candidate-specific events, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest these factors would need substantial magnitude to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$25,808終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his uncontested March 2026 Republican primary. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with LaHood’s established family name in the region and focus on constituent priorities such as affordability and trade, has limited Democratic inroads. His opponent, Paul Nolley, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican-leaning area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe Republican territory. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national economic developments, unexpected turnout surges, or candidate-specific events, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest these factors would need substantial magnitude to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,808終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois’s 16th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and his uncontested March 2026 Republican primary. The district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with LaHood’s established family name in the region and focus on constituent priorities such as affordability and trade, has limited Democratic inroads. His opponent, Paul Nolley, secured the Democratic nomination without opposition but faces structural headwinds in a solidly Republican-leaning area. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe Republican territory. Potential shifts remain possible through late-cycle national economic developments, unexpected turnout surges, or candidate-specific events, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest these factors would need substantial magnitude to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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