The Illinois 10th congressional district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Brad Schneider secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while the Republican primary produced an unopposed nominee. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. With the November 3, 2026 general election still months away, an unusually large national partisan swing, late developments affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen change in candidate viability would be required to meaningfully alter the existing probability balance reflected in market prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$22,027 Vol.
$22,027 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$22,027 Vol.
$22,027 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$19,053 Vol.
94%
共和党
$2,974 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 10th congressional district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Brad Schneider secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while the Republican primary produced an unopposed nominee. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. With the November 3, 2026 general election still months away, an unusually large national partisan swing, late developments affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen change in candidate viability would be required to meaningfully alter the existing probability balance reflected in market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$22,027終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 10th congressional district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Brad Schneider secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while the Republican primary produced an unopposed nominee. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. With the November 3, 2026 general election still months away, an unusually large national partisan swing, late developments affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen change in candidate viability would be required to meaningfully alter the existing probability balance reflected in market prices.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$22,027終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 10th congressional district’s D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Brad Schneider secured renomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote, while the Republican primary produced an unopposed nominee. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. With the November 3, 2026 general election still months away, an unusually large national partisan swing, late developments affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen change in candidate viability would be required to meaningfully alter the existing probability balance reflected in market prices.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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