Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran. Fry’s fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Vincent’s roughly $235,000, combined with the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Republican win on November 3. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a broad national Democratic midterm surge, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout overcoming the district’s structural lean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
96%
民主党
6%
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$21,328 Vol.
96%
民主党
$15,635 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran. Fry’s fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Vincent’s roughly $235,000, combined with the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Republican win on November 3. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a broad national Democratic midterm surge, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout overcoming the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$36,963終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran. Fry’s fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Vincent’s roughly $235,000, combined with the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Republican win on November 3. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a broad national Democratic midterm surge, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout overcoming the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,963終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran. Fry’s fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Vincent’s roughly $235,000, combined with the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Republican win on November 3. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a broad national Democratic midterm surge, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout overcoming the district’s structural lean.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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