Delaware’s at-large House district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in consistent voter registration advantages and recent election margins exceeding 15 points. Incumbent Sarah McBride secured the seat in 2024 and faces a Republican primary field without established statewide name recognition ahead of the September primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in the past month. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unusual late-cycle event such as a candidate withdrawal, health issue, or significant scandal altering the field before November, though historical patterns in the state suggest limited probability of such an outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,155 Vol.
94%
共和党
$161 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large House district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in consistent voter registration advantages and recent election margins exceeding 15 points. Incumbent Sarah McBride secured the seat in 2024 and faces a Republican primary field without established statewide name recognition ahead of the September primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in the past month. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unusual late-cycle event such as a candidate withdrawal, health issue, or significant scandal altering the field before November, though historical patterns in the state suggest limited probability of such an outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$2,316終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large House district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in consistent voter registration advantages and recent election margins exceeding 15 points. Incumbent Sarah McBride secured the seat in 2024 and faces a Republican primary field without established statewide name recognition ahead of the September primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in the past month. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unusual late-cycle event such as a candidate withdrawal, health issue, or significant scandal altering the field before November, though historical patterns in the state suggest limited probability of such an outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,316終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large House district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in consistent voter registration advantages and recent election margins exceeding 15 points. Incumbent Sarah McBride secured the seat in 2024 and faces a Republican primary field without established statewide name recognition ahead of the September primaries and November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in the past month. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with these structural factors. A realistic challenge would require an unusual late-cycle event such as a candidate withdrawal, health issue, or significant scandal altering the field before November, though historical patterns in the state suggest limited probability of such an outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問