Delaware's at-large House district maintains a consistent Democratic lean rooted in statewide voting patterns and urban-suburban demographics, supporting incumbent Sarah McBride's position ahead of the September primaries and November general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the party's established advantage in fundraising and candidate recruitment. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds with limited statewide infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similar districts, where shifts typically require sustained national political realignments or unforeseen local developments to alter the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党
94%
共和党
7%
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's at-large House district maintains a consistent Democratic lean rooted in statewide voting patterns and urban-suburban demographics, supporting incumbent Sarah McBride's position ahead of the September primaries and November general election. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting the party's established advantage in fundraising and candidate recruitment. Republican primary contenders face structural headwinds with limited statewide infrastructure. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similar districts, where shifts typically require sustained national political realignments or unforeseen local developments to alter the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問