Delaware's at-large congressional district has favored Democratic candidates in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 2024 victory by nearly 16 percentage points. The current representative is seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election after winning the Democratic primary on September 15, with no major shifts in state-level voting patterns or candidate fields reported in the past month. Multiple Republicans are competing in their September primary, but the seat carries a solid Democratic rating from forecasters based on historical margins and turnout trends. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected primary upset, or late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,155 Vol.
94%
共和党
$161 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large congressional district has favored Democratic candidates in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 2024 victory by nearly 16 percentage points. The current representative is seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election after winning the Democratic primary on September 15, with no major shifts in state-level voting patterns or candidate fields reported in the past month. Multiple Republicans are competing in their September primary, but the seat carries a solid Democratic rating from forecasters based on historical margins and turnout trends. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected primary upset, or late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$2,316終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large congressional district has favored Democratic candidates in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 2024 victory by nearly 16 percentage points. The current representative is seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election after winning the Democratic primary on September 15, with no major shifts in state-level voting patterns or candidate fields reported in the past month. Multiple Republicans are competing in their September primary, but the seat carries a solid Democratic rating from forecasters based on historical margins and turnout trends. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected primary upset, or late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,316終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's at-large congressional district has favored Democratic candidates in recent federal elections, including the incumbent's 2024 victory by nearly 16 percentage points. The current representative is seeking re-election in the November 2026 general election after winning the Democratic primary on September 15, with no major shifts in state-level voting patterns or candidate fields reported in the past month. Multiple Republicans are competing in their September primary, but the seat carries a solid Democratic rating from forecasters based on historical margins and turnout trends. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive general-election dynamics. A significant national Republican surge, unexpected primary upset, or late-cycle development could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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