The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.9%. Incumbent Riley Moore secured the GOP primary unopposed in May 2026, while Democrat Ace Parsi advanced from a contested primary amid limited fundraising and name recognition. Analyst ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the market's pricing of low Democratic odds. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could still narrow the margin, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$67,023 Vol.
$67,023 Vol.
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$67,023 Vol.
$67,023 Vol.
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 95.9%. Incumbent Riley Moore secured the GOP primary unopposed in May 2026, while Democrat Ace Parsi advanced from a contested primary amid limited fundraising and name recognition. Analyst ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the market's pricing of low Democratic odds. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could still narrow the margin, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問