Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the WV-02 House race due to the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Moore advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Ace Parsi secured his party's nomination in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 95.9% implied probability. Independent candidates on the ballot introduce minor variables but face steep structural barriers in this solidly Republican territory. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political realignment could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$67,023 Vol.
$67,023 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
4%
$67,023 Vol.
$67,023 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$40,883 Vol.
96%
民主党
$26,140 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the WV-02 House race due to the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Moore advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Ace Parsi secured his party's nomination in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 95.9% implied probability. Independent candidates on the ballot introduce minor variables but face steep structural barriers in this solidly Republican territory. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political realignment could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$67,023終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the WV-02 House race due to the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Moore advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Ace Parsi secured his party's nomination in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 95.9% implied probability. Independent candidates on the ballot introduce minor variables but face steep structural barriers in this solidly Republican territory. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political realignment could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$67,023終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in the WV-02 House race due to the district's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in its R+20 Cook Partisan Voting Index and strong Republican performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Moore advanced unopposed through the May 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Ace Parsi secured his party's nomination in a low-turnout contest. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the market's 95.9% implied probability. Independent candidates on the ballot introduce minor variables but face steep structural barriers in this solidly Republican territory. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national political realignment could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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