The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District has produced a crowded field, yet the race remains anchored by the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and a voter registration edge exceeding 3-to-2. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The June 9 Republican primary, featuring endorsed candidate David Flippo among others, concluded recently with early results favoring a nominee positioned to hold the seat. Democrats have fielded multiple contenders, including Teresa Benitez-Thompson and self-funder Greg Kidd, but face structural barriers in this northern Nevada district that has never elected a Democrat. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals through elevated probabilities for the Republican nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,946 Vol.
$19,946 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
72%
民主党
27%
$19,946 Vol.
$19,946 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,420 Vol.
72%
民主党
$8,527 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District has produced a crowded field, yet the race remains anchored by the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and a voter registration edge exceeding 3-to-2. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The June 9 Republican primary, featuring endorsed candidate David Flippo among others, concluded recently with early results favoring a nominee positioned to hold the seat. Democrats have fielded multiple contenders, including Teresa Benitez-Thompson and self-funder Greg Kidd, but face structural barriers in this northern Nevada district that has never elected a Democrat. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals through elevated probabilities for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$19,946終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District has produced a crowded field, yet the race remains anchored by the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and a voter registration edge exceeding 3-to-2. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The June 9 Republican primary, featuring endorsed candidate David Flippo among others, concluded recently with early results favoring a nominee positioned to hold the seat. Democrats have fielded multiple contenders, including Teresa Benitez-Thompson and self-funder Greg Kidd, but face structural barriers in this northern Nevada district that has never elected a Democrat. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals through elevated probabilities for the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,946終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The retirement of longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei in Nevada’s 2nd Congressional District has produced a crowded field, yet the race remains anchored by the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and a voter registration edge exceeding 3-to-2. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. The June 9 Republican primary, featuring endorsed candidate David Flippo among others, concluded recently with early results favoring a nominee positioned to hold the seat. Democrats have fielded multiple contenders, including Teresa Benitez-Thompson and self-funder Greg Kidd, but face structural barriers in this northern Nevada district that has never elected a Democrat. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals through elevated probabilities for the Republican nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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