**Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the Arizona 2nd Congressional District race due to the seat’s Republican lean, his incumbency, and consistent polling leads.** The district, which includes rural northeastern Arizona, Flagstaff, Prescott, and significant Native American populations, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index around R+7 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 15 points in 2024. Crane defeated Nez in their 2024 rematch by nine points and advanced unopposed in the July 2026 primary. Recent surveys, including an August Peak Insights poll showing Crane at 53% to Nez’s 42%, reinforce trader pricing near 68%. Crane’s substantial fundraising lead—roughly $9.5 million raised versus Nez’s $3.5 million—further supports his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Nez, a former Navajo Nation president, maintains competitiveness through strength among independents and tribal voters while emphasizing rural infrastructure and costs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
イーライ・クレイン（共和党）
68%
ジョナサン・ネズ（民主党）
33%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
イーライ・クレイン（共和党）
$2,144 Vol.
68%
ジョナサン・ネズ（民主党）
$1,516 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the Arizona 2nd Congressional District race due to the seat’s Republican lean, his incumbency, and consistent polling leads.** The district, which includes rural northeastern Arizona, Flagstaff, Prescott, and significant Native American populations, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index around R+7 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 15 points in 2024. Crane defeated Nez in their 2024 rematch by nine points and advanced unopposed in the July 2026 primary. Recent surveys, including an August Peak Insights poll showing Crane at 53% to Nez’s 42%, reinforce trader pricing near 68%. Crane’s substantial fundraising lead—roughly $9.5 million raised versus Nez’s $3.5 million—further supports his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Nez, a former Navajo Nation president, maintains competitiveness through strength among independents and tribal voters while emphasizing rural infrastructure and costs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
音量
$3,660終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the Arizona 2nd Congressional District race due to the seat’s Republican lean, his incumbency, and consistent polling leads.** The district, which includes rural northeastern Arizona, Flagstaff, Prescott, and significant Native American populations, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index around R+7 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 15 points in 2024. Crane defeated Nez in their 2024 rematch by nine points and advanced unopposed in the July 2026 primary. Recent surveys, including an August Peak Insights poll showing Crane at 53% to Nez’s 42%, reinforce trader pricing near 68%. Crane’s substantial fundraising lead—roughly $9.5 million raised versus Nez’s $3.5 million—further supports his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Nez, a former Navajo Nation president, maintains competitiveness through strength among independents and tribal voters while emphasizing rural infrastructure and costs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,660終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Eli Crane holds a clear edge in the Arizona 2nd Congressional District race due to the seat’s Republican lean, his incumbency, and consistent polling leads.** The district, which includes rural northeastern Arizona, Flagstaff, Prescott, and significant Native American populations, carries a Republican Partisan Voting Index around R+7 and favored Donald Trump by roughly 15 points in 2024. Crane defeated Nez in their 2024 rematch by nine points and advanced unopposed in the July 2026 primary. Recent surveys, including an August Peak Insights poll showing Crane at 53% to Nez’s 42%, reinforce trader pricing near 68%. Crane’s substantial fundraising lead—roughly $9.5 million raised versus Nez’s $3.5 million—further supports his position ahead of the November 3 general election. Nez, a former Navajo Nation president, maintains competitiveness through strength among independents and tribal voters while emphasizing rural infrastructure and costs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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