Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting her established position in a seat that has shifted Democratic in recent cycles. The western Michigan district, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties with a partisan lean favoring Democrats, saw Scholten win reelection in 2024 by double digits after flipping the seat in 2022. She faced no primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer prevailed in the August primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Scholten over 90 percent implied probability. A national Republican wave, significant fundraising surge by DeBoer, or late-breaking developments could narrow the gap, though structural factors currently limit such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,432 Vol.
$21,432 Vol.
2026/11/03
ヒラリー・ショルテン（民主党）
94%
テリー・デボーア（共和党）
6%
$21,432 Vol.
$21,432 Vol.
2026/11/03
ヒラリー・ショルテン（民主党）
$16,430 Vol.
94%
テリー・デボーア（共和党）
$5,002 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting her established position in a seat that has shifted Democratic in recent cycles. The western Michigan district, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties with a partisan lean favoring Democrats, saw Scholten win reelection in 2024 by double digits after flipping the seat in 2022. She faced no primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer prevailed in the August primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Scholten over 90 percent implied probability. A national Republican wave, significant fundraising surge by DeBoer, or late-breaking developments could narrow the gap, though structural factors currently limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
音量
$21,432終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting her established position in a seat that has shifted Democratic in recent cycles. The western Michigan district, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties with a partisan lean favoring Democrats, saw Scholten win reelection in 2024 by double digits after flipping the seat in 2022. She faced no primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer prevailed in the August primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Scholten over 90 percent implied probability. A national Republican wave, significant fundraising surge by DeBoer, or late-breaking developments could narrow the gap, though structural factors currently limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,432終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflecting her established position in a seat that has shifted Democratic in recent cycles. The western Michigan district, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties with a partisan lean favoring Democrats, saw Scholten win reelection in 2024 by double digits after flipping the seat in 2022. She faced no primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, while Republican nominee Terri DeBoer prevailed in the August primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Scholten over 90 percent implied probability. A national Republican wave, significant fundraising surge by DeBoer, or late-breaking developments could narrow the gap, though structural factors currently limit such shifts.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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