Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 76% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Carrie Buck in the November general election for Nevada's 1st Congressional District. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been held by Democrats for multiple cycles, with Titus winning reelection in 2024 by a comfortable margin. Forecasters rate the contest as likely or lean Democratic, citing the incumbent's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's demographic profile centered in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a competitive shift. A sustained national partisan swing, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain outliers given historical patterns in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,465 Vol.
$15,465 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
9%
$15,465 Vol.
$15,465 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,130 Vol.
91%
共和党
$11,335 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 76% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Carrie Buck in the November general election for Nevada's 1st Congressional District. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been held by Democrats for multiple cycles, with Titus winning reelection in 2024 by a comfortable margin. Forecasters rate the contest as likely or lean Democratic, citing the incumbent's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's demographic profile centered in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a competitive shift. A sustained national partisan swing, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain outliers given historical patterns in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$15,465終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 76% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Carrie Buck in the November general election for Nevada's 1st Congressional District. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been held by Democrats for multiple cycles, with Titus winning reelection in 2024 by a comfortable margin. Forecasters rate the contest as likely or lean Democratic, citing the incumbent's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's demographic profile centered in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a competitive shift. A sustained national partisan swing, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain outliers given historical patterns in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,465終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Dina Titus secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with nearly 76% of the vote, facing Republican nominee Carrie Buck in the November general election for Nevada's 1st Congressional District. The seat carries a D+2 partisan voter index and has been held by Democrats for multiple cycles, with Titus winning reelection in 2024 by a comfortable margin. Forecasters rate the contest as likely or lean Democratic, citing the incumbent's established fundraising advantage, name recognition, and the district's demographic profile centered in the Las Vegas area. Trader consensus at 90.5% for a Democratic hold aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent polling or campaign developments that would signal a competitive shift. A sustained national partisan swing, late-breaking controversy, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain outliers given historical patterns in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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