Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$51,051 Vol.
$51,051 Vol.
2026/11/02
デビー・ディンゲル（民主党）
96%
ヘザー・スマイリー（共和党）
<1%
$51,051 Vol.
$51,051 Vol.
2026/11/02
デビー・ディンゲル（民主党）
$24,038 Vol.
96%
ヘザー・スマイリー（共和党）
$27,013 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$51,051終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$51,051終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Debbie Dingell's incumbency and Michigan's 6th congressional district's consistent Democratic lean drive trader consensus around her 95.5% implied probability in the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat, centered on Washtenaw County and Ann Arbor with portions of Wayne and Oakland counties, carries a D+12 partisan voting index and delivered Dingell a 62% share against the same Republican opponent in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the August 4 primaries, leaving limited campaign activity to shift fundamentals. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include a major national political realignment, a significant late-breaking development involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high Republican turnout in suburban or manufacturing areas.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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