Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the August 2026 primaries and November general election, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeking a second term after his narrow 2024 victory. Democratic primary contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam have posted early polls showing them competitive or narrowly ahead of Barrett in head-to-head matchups. Recent surveys place the race within single digits or statistical ties, reflecting the district's swing character in a midterm cycle. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a clear edge at 73.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns favoring the opposition party in off-year contests, while Barrett's 42% reflects the challenges of defending a closely divided seat amid ongoing primary dynamics and fundraising efforts on both sides.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
74%
共和党
24%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$5,741 Vol.
74%
共和党
$1,951 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the August 2026 primaries and November general election, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeking a second term after his narrow 2024 victory. Democratic primary contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam have posted early polls showing them competitive or narrowly ahead of Barrett in head-to-head matchups. Recent surveys place the race within single digits or statistical ties, reflecting the district's swing character in a midterm cycle. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a clear edge at 73.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns favoring the opposition party in off-year contests, while Barrett's 42% reflects the challenges of defending a closely divided seat amid ongoing primary dynamics and fundraising efforts on both sides.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$7,691終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the August 2026 primaries and November general election, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeking a second term after his narrow 2024 victory. Democratic primary contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam have posted early polls showing them competitive or narrowly ahead of Barrett in head-to-head matchups. Recent surveys place the race within single digits or statistical ties, reflecting the district's swing character in a midterm cycle. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a clear edge at 73.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns favoring the opposition party in off-year contests, while Barrett's 42% reflects the challenges of defending a closely divided seat amid ongoing primary dynamics and fundraising efforts on both sides.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,691終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains a toss-up heading into the August 2026 primaries and November general election, with Republican incumbent Tom Barrett seeking a second term after his narrow 2024 victory. Democratic primary contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam have posted early polls showing them competitive or narrowly ahead of Barrett in head-to-head matchups. Recent surveys place the race within single digits or statistical ties, reflecting the district's swing character in a midterm cycle. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a clear edge at 73.5% implied probability, consistent with historical patterns favoring the opposition party in off-year contests, while Barrett's 42% reflects the challenges of defending a closely divided seat amid ongoing primary dynamics and fundraising efforts on both sides.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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