The even partisan voter index of Michigan's 7th District, combined with the typical midterm dynamic in which the president's party faces headwinds, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, enters the cycle in a battleground rated toss-up by major forecasters. Democratic primary contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam have shown competitive positioning in early surveys, with general-election matchups remaining close. Key factors include district-level voting patterns from recent presidential cycles, candidate fundraising, and scheduled August 4 primaries that will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
77%
共和党
22%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$5,848 Vol.
77%
共和党
$1,951 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The even partisan voter index of Michigan's 7th District, combined with the typical midterm dynamic in which the president's party faces headwinds, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, enters the cycle in a battleground rated toss-up by major forecasters. Democratic primary contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam have shown competitive positioning in early surveys, with general-election matchups remaining close. Key factors include district-level voting patterns from recent presidential cycles, candidate fundraising, and scheduled August 4 primaries that will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
音量
$7,799終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The even partisan voter index of Michigan's 7th District, combined with the typical midterm dynamic in which the president's party faces headwinds, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, enters the cycle in a battleground rated toss-up by major forecasters. Democratic primary contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam have shown competitive positioning in early surveys, with general-election matchups remaining close. Key factors include district-level voting patterns from recent presidential cycles, candidate fundraising, and scheduled August 4 primaries that will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,799終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The even partisan voter index of Michigan's 7th District, combined with the typical midterm dynamic in which the president's party faces headwinds, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic outcome. Republican incumbent Tom Barrett, who flipped the seat in 2024, enters the cycle in a battleground rated toss-up by major forecasters. Democratic primary contenders including Bridget Brink, William Lawrence, and Matt Maasdam have shown competitive positioning in early surveys, with general-election matchups remaining close. Key factors include district-level voting patterns from recent presidential cycles, candidate fundraising, and scheduled August 4 primaries that will finalize nominees ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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