LaMonica McIver, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2024 special election to succeed the late Donald Payne Jr., holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 10th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic registration advantage and history of lopsided margins in federal races underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. McIver defeated a primary challenger by a wide margin in June 2026, while Republican Carmen Bucco, a perennial candidate, secured the GOP nomination. Limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and low expected turnout in this urban, heavily Democratic area further reinforce the current odds. Scenarios that could shift the race include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, significant health developments, or an unforeseen national political realignment that boosts GOP performance in safe Democratic seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$46,664 Vol.
$46,664 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
5%
$46,664 Vol.
$46,664 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$13,890 Vol.
96%
共和党
$32,774 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2024 special election to succeed the late Donald Payne Jr., holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 10th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic registration advantage and history of lopsided margins in federal races underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. McIver defeated a primary challenger by a wide margin in June 2026, while Republican Carmen Bucco, a perennial candidate, secured the GOP nomination. Limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and low expected turnout in this urban, heavily Democratic area further reinforce the current odds. Scenarios that could shift the race include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, significant health developments, or an unforeseen national political realignment that boosts GOP performance in safe Democratic seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$46,664終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2024 special election to succeed the late Donald Payne Jr., holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 10th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic registration advantage and history of lopsided margins in federal races underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. McIver defeated a primary challenger by a wide margin in June 2026, while Republican Carmen Bucco, a perennial candidate, secured the GOP nomination. Limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and low expected turnout in this urban, heavily Democratic area further reinforce the current odds. Scenarios that could shift the race include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, significant health developments, or an unforeseen national political realignment that boosts GOP performance in safe Democratic seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$46,664終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...LaMonica McIver, the Democratic incumbent who won a 2024 special election to succeed the late Donald Payne Jr., holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 10th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s strong Democratic registration advantage and history of lopsided margins in federal races underpin trader consensus around a Democratic hold. McIver defeated a primary challenger by a wide margin in June 2026, while Republican Carmen Bucco, a perennial candidate, secured the GOP nomination. Limited Republican infrastructure, fundraising gaps, and low expected turnout in this urban, heavily Democratic area further reinforce the current odds. Scenarios that could shift the race include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, significant health developments, or an unforeseen national political realignment that boosts GOP performance in safe Democratic seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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