The NY-10 district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook PVI of D+32 and the incumbent's 82% win in 2024, drives trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary between Rep. Dan Goldman and challenger Brad Lander will determine the general election candidate, with recent Emerson College and other polling showing Lander leading but both far ahead of Republican Jennifer Moore, who advanced unopposed. Historical turnout patterns, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments shifting the race underpin the wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political realignment, late primary upset altering candidate dynamics, or unforeseen personal or legal issues affecting the eventual nominee before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$44,544 Vol.
$44,544 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$44,544 Vol.
$44,544 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,095 Vol.
95%
共和党
$32,449 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-10 district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook PVI of D+32 and the incumbent's 82% win in 2024, drives trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary between Rep. Dan Goldman and challenger Brad Lander will determine the general election candidate, with recent Emerson College and other polling showing Lander leading but both far ahead of Republican Jennifer Moore, who advanced unopposed. Historical turnout patterns, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments shifting the race underpin the wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political realignment, late primary upset altering candidate dynamics, or unforeseen personal or legal issues affecting the eventual nominee before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$44,544終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NY-10 district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook PVI of D+32 and the incumbent's 82% win in 2024, drives trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary between Rep. Dan Goldman and challenger Brad Lander will determine the general election candidate, with recent Emerson College and other polling showing Lander leading but both far ahead of Republican Jennifer Moore, who advanced unopposed. Historical turnout patterns, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments shifting the race underpin the wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political realignment, late primary upset altering candidate dynamics, or unforeseen personal or legal issues affecting the eventual nominee before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$44,544終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NY-10 district's strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in a Cook PVI of D+32 and the incumbent's 82% win in 2024, drives trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The June 23 Democratic primary between Rep. Dan Goldman and challenger Brad Lander will determine the general election candidate, with recent Emerson College and other polling showing Lander leading but both far ahead of Republican Jennifer Moore, who advanced unopposed. Historical turnout patterns, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments shifting the race underpin the wide margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unexpected national political realignment, late primary upset altering candidate dynamics, or unforeseen personal or legal issues affecting the eventual nominee before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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