NY-10 encompasses Democratic strongholds in Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan, where the party has dominated recent House contests, including an 82% win for incumbent Dan Goldman in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the GOP nominee, while the June 23 Democratic primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. The 93% trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unforeseen national wave could narrow margins, though such shifts remain rare in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,747 Vol.
$45,747 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$45,747 Vol.
$45,747 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,182 Vol.
94%
共和党
$33,566 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-10 encompasses Democratic strongholds in Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan, where the party has dominated recent House contests, including an 82% win for incumbent Dan Goldman in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the GOP nominee, while the June 23 Democratic primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. The 93% trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unforeseen national wave could narrow margins, though such shifts remain rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$45,747終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-10 encompasses Democratic strongholds in Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan, where the party has dominated recent House contests, including an 82% win for incumbent Dan Goldman in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the GOP nominee, while the June 23 Democratic primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. The 93% trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unforeseen national wave could narrow margins, though such shifts remain rare in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,747終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-10 encompasses Democratic strongholds in Brooklyn and Lower Manhattan, where the party has dominated recent House contests, including an 82% win for incumbent Dan Goldman in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. Jennifer Moore advanced unopposed as the GOP nominee, while the June 23 Democratic primary between Goldman and Brad Lander will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter the general-election trajectory. The 93% trader consensus on a Democratic winner aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for Republicans. A major scandal involving the Democratic nominee or an unforeseen national wave could narrow margins, though such shifts remain rare in this district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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