The heavily Democratic tilt of New York’s 10th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and the incumbent Democrat’s 82% general-election margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Limited Republican infrastructure and a canceled GOP primary that advanced only Jennifer Moore further reinforce the lopsided positioning. The June 23 Democratic primary between incumbent Dan Goldman and Brad Lander, where recent Emerson polling shows Lander ahead by double digits, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter general-election dynamics in this urban Brooklyn-Manhattan seat. A November 3, 2026 general-election outcome for Republicans would require an unprecedented swing in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$44,544 Vol.
$44,544 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$44,544 Vol.
$44,544 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,095 Vol.
95%
共和党
$32,449 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of New York’s 10th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and the incumbent Democrat’s 82% general-election margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Limited Republican infrastructure and a canceled GOP primary that advanced only Jennifer Moore further reinforce the lopsided positioning. The June 23 Democratic primary between incumbent Dan Goldman and Brad Lander, where recent Emerson polling shows Lander ahead by double digits, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter general-election dynamics in this urban Brooklyn-Manhattan seat. A November 3, 2026 general-election outcome for Republicans would require an unprecedented swing in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$44,544終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of New York’s 10th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and the incumbent Democrat’s 82% general-election margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Limited Republican infrastructure and a canceled GOP primary that advanced only Jennifer Moore further reinforce the lopsided positioning. The June 23 Democratic primary between incumbent Dan Goldman and Brad Lander, where recent Emerson polling shows Lander ahead by double digits, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter general-election dynamics in this urban Brooklyn-Manhattan seat. A November 3, 2026 general-election outcome for Republicans would require an unprecedented swing in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$44,544終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic tilt of New York’s 10th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and the incumbent Democrat’s 82% general-election margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Limited Republican infrastructure and a canceled GOP primary that advanced only Jennifer Moore further reinforce the lopsided positioning. The June 23 Democratic primary between incumbent Dan Goldman and Brad Lander, where recent Emerson polling shows Lander ahead by double digits, will determine the nominee but is unlikely to alter general-election dynamics in this urban Brooklyn-Manhattan seat. A November 3, 2026 general-election outcome for Republicans would require an unprecedented swing in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic majorities.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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