NY-10's heavily Democratic character, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 82% margin in 2024, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3, 2026. The district covers Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, where Republican performance has remained minimal across recent cycles. A competitive Democratic primary on June 23 between incumbent Dan Goldman and former Comptroller Brad Lander has drawn attention and recent polling, yet the winner will face only token opposition from Republican Jennifer Moore in the fall. Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift in the outcome would require an unprecedented national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen redistricting change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$44,544 Vol.
$44,544 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
2%
$44,544 Vol.
$44,544 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,095 Vol.
95%
共和党
$32,449 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-10's heavily Democratic character, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 82% margin in 2024, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3, 2026. The district covers Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, where Republican performance has remained minimal across recent cycles. A competitive Democratic primary on June 23 between incumbent Dan Goldman and former Comptroller Brad Lander has drawn attention and recent polling, yet the winner will face only token opposition from Republican Jennifer Moore in the fall. Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift in the outcome would require an unprecedented national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen redistricting change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$44,544終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-10's heavily Democratic character, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 82% margin in 2024, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3, 2026. The district covers Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, where Republican performance has remained minimal across recent cycles. A competitive Democratic primary on June 23 between incumbent Dan Goldman and former Comptroller Brad Lander has drawn attention and recent polling, yet the winner will face only token opposition from Republican Jennifer Moore in the fall. Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift in the outcome would require an unprecedented national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen redistricting change.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$44,544終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-10's heavily Democratic character, reflected in its D+32 partisan voting index and the incumbent's 82% margin in 2024, underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election victory on November 3, 2026. The district covers Lower Manhattan and parts of Brooklyn, where Republican performance has remained minimal across recent cycles. A competitive Democratic primary on June 23 between incumbent Dan Goldman and former Comptroller Brad Lander has drawn attention and recent polling, yet the winner will face only token opposition from Republican Jennifer Moore in the fall. Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift in the outcome would require an unprecedented national Republican wave, late-breaking scandal, or unforeseen redistricting change.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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