Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination for Texas’s 10th congressional district after winning the March 2026 primary outright with 51 percent, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary with 61 percent. The open seat, created by incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement, sits in a district with a strong Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent election margins and limited Democratic performance in statewide polling aggregates. No major developments have altered the race outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general election contest on November 3, 2026, as the primary remaining variable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,624 Vol.
$14,624 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
16%
$14,624 Vol.
$14,624 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,772 Vol.
83%
民主党
$8,852 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination for Texas’s 10th congressional district after winning the March 2026 primary outright with 51 percent, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary with 61 percent. The open seat, created by incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement, sits in a district with a strong Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent election margins and limited Democratic performance in statewide polling aggregates. No major developments have altered the race outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general election contest on November 3, 2026, as the primary remaining variable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$14,624終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination for Texas’s 10th congressional district after winning the March 2026 primary outright with 51 percent, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary with 61 percent. The open seat, created by incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement, sits in a district with a strong Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent election margins and limited Democratic performance in statewide polling aggregates. No major developments have altered the race outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general election contest on November 3, 2026, as the primary remaining variable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,624終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Chris Gober secured the nomination for Texas’s 10th congressional district after winning the March 2026 primary outright with 51 percent, while Democrat Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary with 61 percent. The open seat, created by incumbent Michael McCaul’s retirement, sits in a district with a strong Republican tilt reflected in its Cook Political Report Solid R rating and partisan voting index. Traders assign the Republican nominee an 83 percent implied probability of victory, consistent with the district’s recent election margins and limited Democratic performance in statewide polling aggregates. No major developments have altered the race outlook in recent weeks, leaving the general election contest on November 3, 2026, as the primary remaining variable.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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