Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory in March 2026, facing Democratic nominee Ashley Bell in the November general election for North Carolina's 10th congressional district. Recent redistricting has reinforced the district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results favoring GOP candidates by double-digit margins. Traders price the Republican outcome highest due to these structural advantages, combined with the limited time remaining for Democratic challengers to shift voter sentiment ahead of the general election. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, though turnout patterns in key counties like Catawba and Iredell could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
56%
民主党
13%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,211 Vol.
56%
民主党
$2,589 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory in March 2026, facing Democratic nominee Ashley Bell in the November general election for North Carolina's 10th congressional district. Recent redistricting has reinforced the district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results favoring GOP candidates by double-digit margins. Traders price the Republican outcome highest due to these structural advantages, combined with the limited time remaining for Democratic challengers to shift voter sentiment ahead of the general election. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, though turnout patterns in key counties like Catawba and Iredell could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$4,800終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory in March 2026, facing Democratic nominee Ashley Bell in the November general election for North Carolina's 10th congressional district. Recent redistricting has reinforced the district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results favoring GOP candidates by double-digit margins. Traders price the Republican outcome highest due to these structural advantages, combined with the limited time remaining for Democratic challengers to shift voter sentiment ahead of the general election. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, though turnout patterns in key counties like Catawba and Iredell could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,800終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pat Harrigan secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory in March 2026, facing Democratic nominee Ashley Bell in the November general election for North Carolina's 10th congressional district. Recent redistricting has reinforced the district's Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results favoring GOP candidates by double-digit margins. Traders price the Republican outcome highest due to these structural advantages, combined with the limited time remaining for Democratic challengers to shift voter sentiment ahead of the general election. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent weeks, though turnout patterns in key counties like Catawba and Iredell could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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