Michigan's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, anchored by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's strong name recognition, fundraising edge, and consistent primary performance in a district encompassing Dearborn, parts of Detroit, and surrounding Wayne and Oakland County areas. With the Democratic primary scheduled for August 4 and the general election on November 3, Tlaib faces limited primary opposition while the Republican nominee holds minimal prospects in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and the absence of major recent developments that would alter its trajectory, though an unexpected primary upset or significant national political realignment could still introduce uncertainty before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,714 Vol.
94%
共和党
$11,175 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, anchored by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's strong name recognition, fundraising edge, and consistent primary performance in a district encompassing Dearborn, parts of Detroit, and surrounding Wayne and Oakland County areas. With the Democratic primary scheduled for August 4 and the general election on November 3, Tlaib faces limited primary opposition while the Republican nominee holds minimal prospects in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and the absence of major recent developments that would alter its trajectory, though an unexpected primary upset or significant national political realignment could still introduce uncertainty before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$28,890終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, anchored by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's strong name recognition, fundraising edge, and consistent primary performance in a district encompassing Dearborn, parts of Detroit, and surrounding Wayne and Oakland County areas. With the Democratic primary scheduled for August 4 and the general election on November 3, Tlaib faces limited primary opposition while the Republican nominee holds minimal prospects in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and the absence of major recent developments that would alter its trajectory, though an unexpected primary upset or significant national political realignment could still introduce uncertainty before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,890終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the 2026 midterms, anchored by incumbent Rashida Tlaib's strong name recognition, fundraising edge, and consistent primary performance in a district encompassing Dearborn, parts of Detroit, and surrounding Wayne and Oakland County areas. With the Democratic primary scheduled for August 4 and the general election on November 3, Tlaib faces limited primary opposition while the Republican nominee holds minimal prospects in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's partisan composition and the absence of major recent developments that would alter its trajectory, though an unexpected primary upset or significant national political realignment could still introduce uncertainty before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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