Rashida Tlaib's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 12th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district's voter base in areas such as Dearborn and Southfield has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,234 Vol.
$39,234 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラシダ・タリーブ（民主党）
96%
ジェームズ・フーパー（共和党）
1%
$39,234 Vol.
$39,234 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラシダ・タリーブ（民主党）
$21,751 Vol.
96%
ジェームズ・フーパー（共和党）
$17,483 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 12th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district's voter base in areas such as Dearborn and Southfield has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$39,234終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 12th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district's voter base in areas such as Dearborn and Southfield has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,234終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Rashida Tlaib's strong position as the Democratic incumbent in Michigan's 12th congressional district stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and repeated ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic by forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Tlaib secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against intra-party challengers, while Republican nominee James Hooper advanced unopposed. The district's voter base in areas such as Dearborn and Southfield has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, limiting the challenger's path. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health development, or sharp national political shift could still alter the trajectory before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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