Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a D+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens launched a Senate bid, prompting a crowded Democratic primary on August 4 featuring multiple candidates while Republicans field a single notable contender in Troy Mayor Ethan Baker. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's suburban Oakland County composition and limited recent polling shifts. A national Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$56,269 Vol.
$56,269 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
1%
$56,269 Vol.
$56,269 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$44,047 Vol.
96%
共和党
$12,223 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a D+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens launched a Senate bid, prompting a crowded Democratic primary on August 4 featuring multiple candidates while Republicans field a single notable contender in Troy Mayor Ethan Baker. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's suburban Oakland County composition and limited recent polling shifts. A national Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$56,269終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a D+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens launched a Senate bid, prompting a crowded Democratic primary on August 4 featuring multiple candidates while Republicans field a single notable contender in Troy Mayor Ethan Baker. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's suburban Oakland County composition and limited recent polling shifts. A national Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$56,269終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a D+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential and House voting that underpin trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. The seat opened after incumbent Haley Stevens launched a Senate bid, prompting a crowded Democratic primary on August 4 featuring multiple candidates while Republicans field a single notable contender in Troy Mayor Ethan Baker. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's suburban Oakland County composition and limited recent polling shifts. A national Republican surge or unexpected primary outcome could narrow the gap, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset before the November 2026 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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