The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% implied probability in the MI-11 House race due to the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index, its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and the open-seat dynamics created by incumbent Haley Stevens’ decision to seek the U.S. Senate. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4, 2026 primary, while the Republican field remains limited to a single presumptive nominee. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. A late primary surprise producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a national political shift favoring Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican campaign could narrow the margin, though current structural and fundraising patterns make such outcomes unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$56,329 Vol.
$56,329 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
1%
$56,329 Vol.
$56,329 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$44,047 Vol.
96%
共和党
$12,283 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% implied probability in the MI-11 House race due to the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index, its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and the open-seat dynamics created by incumbent Haley Stevens’ decision to seek the U.S. Senate. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4, 2026 primary, while the Republican field remains limited to a single presumptive nominee. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. A late primary surprise producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a national political shift favoring Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican campaign could narrow the margin, though current structural and fundraising patterns make such outcomes unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$56,329終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% implied probability in the MI-11 House race due to the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index, its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and the open-seat dynamics created by incumbent Haley Stevens’ decision to seek the U.S. Senate. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4, 2026 primary, while the Republican field remains limited to a single presumptive nominee. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. A late primary surprise producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a national political shift favoring Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican campaign could narrow the margin, though current structural and fundraising patterns make such outcomes unlikely before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$56,329終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding 95.7% implied probability in the MI-11 House race due to the district’s D+9 Partisan Voter Index, its consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and the open-seat dynamics created by incumbent Haley Stevens’ decision to seek the U.S. Senate. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4, 2026 primary, while the Republican field remains limited to a single presumptive nominee. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. A late primary surprise producing an unusually weak Democratic nominee, a national political shift favoring Republicans, or an unusually strong Republican campaign could narrow the margin, though current structural and fundraising patterns make such outcomes unlikely before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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