The open seat created by Republican Rep. John James’s decision to run for Michigan governor has elevated Democratic prospects in this Macomb County-based district, which carries an R+3 partisan voter index. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Christina Hines, Tim Greimel, and Eric Chung, have shown strong early fundraising and polling leads in hypothetical general-election matchups against leading Republican primary candidates such as Mike Bouchard. Nonpartisan ratings place the race in the lean-Republican to toss-up range, reflecting its status as a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee target amid broader midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh the absence of an incumbent and Democratic organizational momentum more heavily than the district’s modest Republican tilt.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
64%
共和党
37%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$774 Vol.
64%
共和党
$268 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican Rep. John James’s decision to run for Michigan governor has elevated Democratic prospects in this Macomb County-based district, which carries an R+3 partisan voter index. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Christina Hines, Tim Greimel, and Eric Chung, have shown strong early fundraising and polling leads in hypothetical general-election matchups against leading Republican primary candidates such as Mike Bouchard. Nonpartisan ratings place the race in the lean-Republican to toss-up range, reflecting its status as a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee target amid broader midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh the absence of an incumbent and Democratic organizational momentum more heavily than the district’s modest Republican tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$1,042終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat created by Republican Rep. John James’s decision to run for Michigan governor has elevated Democratic prospects in this Macomb County-based district, which carries an R+3 partisan voter index. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Christina Hines, Tim Greimel, and Eric Chung, have shown strong early fundraising and polling leads in hypothetical general-election matchups against leading Republican primary candidates such as Mike Bouchard. Nonpartisan ratings place the race in the lean-Republican to toss-up range, reflecting its status as a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee target amid broader midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh the absence of an incumbent and Democratic organizational momentum more heavily than the district’s modest Republican tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,042終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat created by Republican Rep. John James’s decision to run for Michigan governor has elevated Democratic prospects in this Macomb County-based district, which carries an R+3 partisan voter index. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Christina Hines, Tim Greimel, and Eric Chung, have shown strong early fundraising and polling leads in hypothetical general-election matchups against leading Republican primary candidates such as Mike Bouchard. Nonpartisan ratings place the race in the lean-Republican to toss-up range, reflecting its status as a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee target amid broader midterm dynamics. Traders appear to weigh the absence of an incumbent and Democratic organizational momentum more heavily than the district’s modest Republican tilt.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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