The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue the governorship, has created a competitive general election environment for November 2026. Both parties field strong primary contenders ahead of the August 4 contests, with Democrats centering on fundraising leaders like Eric Chung and Republicans on candidates such as Michael Bouchard. Historical Republican performance in Macomb and Oakland counties is offset by recent polling showing narrow general-election margins and varying forecaster ratings from lean Republican to toss-up. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with the slight Democratic edge tied to candidate momentum and national midterm dynamics that could shift with primary results or subsequent campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
47%
共和党
41%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$722 Vol.
47%
共和党
$268 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue the governorship, has created a competitive general election environment for November 2026. Both parties field strong primary contenders ahead of the August 4 contests, with Democrats centering on fundraising leaders like Eric Chung and Republicans on candidates such as Michael Bouchard. Historical Republican performance in Macomb and Oakland counties is offset by recent polling showing narrow general-election margins and varying forecaster ratings from lean Republican to toss-up. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with the slight Democratic edge tied to candidate momentum and national midterm dynamics that could shift with primary results or subsequent campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$989終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue the governorship, has created a competitive general election environment for November 2026. Both parties field strong primary contenders ahead of the August 4 contests, with Democrats centering on fundraising leaders like Eric Chung and Republicans on candidates such as Michael Bouchard. Historical Republican performance in Macomb and Oakland counties is offset by recent polling showing narrow general-election margins and varying forecaster ratings from lean Republican to toss-up. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with the slight Democratic edge tied to candidate momentum and national midterm dynamics that could shift with primary results or subsequent campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$989終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan’s 10th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent John James to pursue the governorship, has created a competitive general election environment for November 2026. Both parties field strong primary contenders ahead of the August 4 contests, with Democrats centering on fundraising leaders like Eric Chung and Republicans on candidates such as Michael Bouchard. Historical Republican performance in Macomb and Oakland counties is offset by recent polling showing narrow general-election margins and varying forecaster ratings from lean Republican to toss-up. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with the slight Democratic edge tied to candidate momentum and national midterm dynamics that could shift with primary results or subsequent campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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