The Democratic Party maintains a commanding lead in California's 11th congressional district race, reflecting the area's entrenched voter registration advantage and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades creates an open seat, drawing a crowded June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats including state Sen. Scott Wiener, who holds key endorsements and fundraising edges. Republican candidates trail significantly in early surveys and face limited organizational support. Forecasters rate the general election as solid Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan lean. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented primary upset or major late developments such as scandals affecting top Democratic contenders, though such shifts remain improbable given turnout patterns and registration gaps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,297 Vol.
95%
共和党
$701 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party maintains a commanding lead in California's 11th congressional district race, reflecting the area's entrenched voter registration advantage and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades creates an open seat, drawing a crowded June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats including state Sen. Scott Wiener, who holds key endorsements and fundraising edges. Republican candidates trail significantly in early surveys and face limited organizational support. Forecasters rate the general election as solid Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan lean. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented primary upset or major late developments such as scandals affecting top Democratic contenders, though such shifts remain improbable given turnout patterns and registration gaps.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$2,998終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party maintains a commanding lead in California's 11th congressional district race, reflecting the area's entrenched voter registration advantage and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades creates an open seat, drawing a crowded June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats including state Sen. Scott Wiener, who holds key endorsements and fundraising edges. Republican candidates trail significantly in early surveys and face limited organizational support. Forecasters rate the general election as solid Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan lean. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented primary upset or major late developments such as scandals affecting top Democratic contenders, though such shifts remain improbable given turnout patterns and registration gaps.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,998終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party maintains a commanding lead in California's 11th congressional district race, reflecting the area's entrenched voter registration advantage and historical margins exceeding 70 percent in recent cycles. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades creates an open seat, drawing a crowded June 2 top-two primary dominated by Democrats including state Sen. Scott Wiener, who holds key endorsements and fundraising edges. Republican candidates trail significantly in early surveys and face limited organizational support. Forecasters rate the general election as solid Democratic, consistent with the district's partisan lean. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented primary upset or major late developments such as scandals affecting top Democratic contenders, though such shifts remain improbable given turnout patterns and registration gaps.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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