California's 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage of roughly 64% to 7% Republican. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades representing the seat created an open race for the November 2026 general election, drawing multiple Democratic candidates into the June 2 primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 80% for the party in recent cycles. Two Republican candidates have filed but trail significantly in fundraising, endorsements, and local polling. The primary outcome will determine the Democratic nominee who is expected to advance under California's top-two system, with limited pathways for a Republican to reach the general or prevail given the district's partisan composition and turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,127 Vol.
95%
共和党
$921 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage of roughly 64% to 7% Republican. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades representing the seat created an open race for the November 2026 general election, drawing multiple Democratic candidates into the June 2 primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 80% for the party in recent cycles. Two Republican candidates have filed but trail significantly in fundraising, endorsements, and local polling. The primary outcome will determine the Democratic nominee who is expected to advance under California's top-two system, with limited pathways for a Republican to reach the general or prevail given the district's partisan composition and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$4,048終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage of roughly 64% to 7% Republican. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades representing the seat created an open race for the November 2026 general election, drawing multiple Democratic candidates into the June 2 primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 80% for the party in recent cycles. Two Republican candidates have filed but trail significantly in fundraising, endorsements, and local polling. The primary outcome will determine the Democratic nominee who is expected to advance under California's top-two system, with limited pathways for a Republican to reach the general or prevail given the district's partisan composition and turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,048終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district, encompassing most of San Francisco, maintains a strong Democratic voter registration advantage of roughly 64% to 7% Republican. Nancy Pelosi's retirement after nearly four decades representing the seat created an open race for the November 2026 general election, drawing multiple Democratic candidates into the June 2 primary. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 80% for the party in recent cycles. Two Republican candidates have filed but trail significantly in fundraising, endorsements, and local polling. The primary outcome will determine the Democratic nominee who is expected to advance under California's top-two system, with limited pathways for a Republican to reach the general or prevail given the district's partisan composition and turnout patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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