California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a heavily Democratic voter registration edge of roughly 64 percent to 7 percent Republican. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat for the first time since 1987, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 contest, yet the general election on November 3 remains a foregone conclusion for the party given the district’s 81 percent Democratic performance in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural realities and the absence of any recent polling shifts or candidate developments capable of narrowing the gap. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail comfortably in November absent an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the eventual nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,127 Vol.
95%
共和党
$921 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a heavily Democratic voter registration edge of roughly 64 percent to 7 percent Republican. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat for the first time since 1987, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 contest, yet the general election on November 3 remains a foregone conclusion for the party given the district’s 81 percent Democratic performance in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural realities and the absence of any recent polling shifts or candidate developments capable of narrowing the gap. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail comfortably in November absent an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the eventual nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$4,048終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a heavily Democratic voter registration edge of roughly 64 percent to 7 percent Republican. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat for the first time since 1987, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 contest, yet the general election on November 3 remains a foregone conclusion for the party given the district’s 81 percent Democratic performance in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural realities and the absence of any recent polling shifts or candidate developments capable of narrowing the gap. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail comfortably in November absent an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the eventual nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$4,048終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 11th congressional district, encompassing much of San Francisco, maintains a heavily Democratic voter registration edge of roughly 64 percent to 7 percent Republican. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after nearly four decades opened the seat for the first time since 1987, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 contest, yet the general election on November 3 remains a foregone conclusion for the party given the district’s 81 percent Democratic performance in 2024. Trader consensus reflects these structural realities and the absence of any recent polling shifts or candidate developments capable of narrowing the gap. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail comfortably in November absent an unforeseen event such as a major scandal or health issue affecting the eventual nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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