Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott has represented the Hampton Roads-area district since 1993 and enters the 2026 cycle with a substantial partisan voter index advantage (D+18 range). The seat delivered large Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, and no credible Republican challenger has emerged to alter that baseline. Primaries are scheduled for August 4, 2026, with Scott as the presumptive Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, but structural factors continue to anchor the heavy Democratic lean in trader assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$36,750 Vol.
$36,750 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$36,750 Vol.
$36,750 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$20,078 Vol.
94%
共和党
$16,672 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott has represented the Hampton Roads-area district since 1993 and enters the 2026 cycle with a substantial partisan voter index advantage (D+18 range). The seat delivered large Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, and no credible Republican challenger has emerged to alter that baseline. Primaries are scheduled for August 4, 2026, with Scott as the presumptive Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, but structural factors continue to anchor the heavy Democratic lean in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$36,750終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott has represented the Hampton Roads-area district since 1993 and enters the 2026 cycle with a substantial partisan voter index advantage (D+18 range). The seat delivered large Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, and no credible Republican challenger has emerged to alter that baseline. Primaries are scheduled for August 4, 2026, with Scott as the presumptive Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, but structural factors continue to anchor the heavy Democratic lean in trader assessments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$36,750終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia’s 3rd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Bobby Scott has represented the Hampton Roads-area district since 1993 and enters the 2026 cycle with a substantial partisan voter index advantage (D+18 range). The seat delivered large Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, and no credible Republican challenger has emerged to alter that baseline. Primaries are scheduled for August 4, 2026, with Scott as the presumptive Democratic nominee. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A late scandal, health issue, or unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, but structural factors continue to anchor the heavy Democratic lean in trader assessments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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