Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democratic nominee Raymond Smith in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins favoring Republicans by double digits, combined with Murphy’s consistent reelection record, anchors trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Smith’s March primary victory has not shifted the race into competitive territory, as ratings classify it solidly Republican with limited fundraising or polling momentum for Democrats. Absent major scandals, redistricting changes, or national wave conditions within the next five months, the structural advantages for the incumbent continue to drive the elevated probability for the Republican Party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,921 Vol.
$18,921 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
$18,921 Vol.
$18,921 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$14,269 Vol.
85%
民主党
$4,652 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democratic nominee Raymond Smith in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins favoring Republicans by double digits, combined with Murphy’s consistent reelection record, anchors trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Smith’s March primary victory has not shifted the race into competitive territory, as ratings classify it solidly Republican with limited fundraising or polling momentum for Democrats. Absent major scandals, redistricting changes, or national wave conditions within the next five months, the structural advantages for the incumbent continue to drive the elevated probability for the Republican Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$18,921終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democratic nominee Raymond Smith in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins favoring Republicans by double digits, combined with Murphy’s consistent reelection record, anchors trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Smith’s March primary victory has not shifted the race into competitive territory, as ratings classify it solidly Republican with limited fundraising or polling momentum for Democrats. Absent major scandals, redistricting changes, or national wave conditions within the next five months, the structural advantages for the incumbent continue to drive the elevated probability for the Republican Party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,921終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democratic nominee Raymond Smith in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential voting margins favoring Republicans by double digits, combined with Murphy’s consistent reelection record, anchors trader consensus on a Republican outcome. Smith’s March primary victory has not shifted the race into competitive territory, as ratings classify it solidly Republican with limited fundraising or polling momentum for Democrats. Absent major scandals, redistricting changes, or national wave conditions within the next five months, the structural advantages for the incumbent continue to drive the elevated probability for the Republican Party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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