Republican Addison McDowell holds a strong incumbent position in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 following recent redistricting and earns Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. McDowell advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson, mayor of High Point, prevailed in a contested March primary. Campaign finance reports show McDowell maintaining a substantial fundraising lead. An independent candidate remains on the ballot but has not shifted the race fundamentals. These structural advantages, including the district’s partisan composition and the incumbent’s resources, underpin the current trader consensus. A late national swing against Republicans, a major scandal, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical patterns in similarly rated seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,532 Vol.
$49,532 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
92%
民主党
9%
$49,532 Vol.
$49,532 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$27,661 Vol.
92%
民主党
$21,871 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Addison McDowell holds a strong incumbent position in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 following recent redistricting and earns Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. McDowell advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson, mayor of High Point, prevailed in a contested March primary. Campaign finance reports show McDowell maintaining a substantial fundraising lead. An independent candidate remains on the ballot but has not shifted the race fundamentals. These structural advantages, including the district’s partisan composition and the incumbent’s resources, underpin the current trader consensus. A late national swing against Republicans, a major scandal, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical patterns in similarly rated seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$49,532終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Addison McDowell holds a strong incumbent position in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 following recent redistricting and earns Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. McDowell advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson, mayor of High Point, prevailed in a contested March primary. Campaign finance reports show McDowell maintaining a substantial fundraising lead. An independent candidate remains on the ballot but has not shifted the race fundamentals. These structural advantages, including the district’s partisan composition and the incumbent’s resources, underpin the current trader consensus. A late national swing against Republicans, a major scandal, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical patterns in similarly rated seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$49,532終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Addison McDowell holds a strong incumbent position in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+9 following recent redistricting and earns Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. McDowell advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Democrat Cyril Jefferson, mayor of High Point, prevailed in a contested March primary. Campaign finance reports show McDowell maintaining a substantial fundraising lead. An independent candidate remains on the ballot but has not shifted the race fundamentals. These structural advantages, including the district’s partisan composition and the incumbent’s resources, underpin the current trader consensus. A late national swing against Republicans, a major scandal, or an unforeseen surge in Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain low-probability given historical patterns in similarly rated seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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