Alabama's 2nd congressional district underwent redistricting in 2026 following court rulings and legislative action, shifting boundaries to increase its Republican lean and reduce the Black voting-age population share. This change has positioned the seat as a prime target for national Republican efforts to flip it from Democratic control. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces a competitive general election under the new map, while multiple Republicans compete in the August 11 primary. Trader consensus at 74.5% for the Republican Party reflects the altered electoral math, Alabama's partisan baseline, and limited polling showing GOP advantages, though Democratic fundraising and turnout mobilization in remaining strongholds introduce uncertainty ahead of November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,558 Vol.
$39,558 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$39,558 Vol.
$39,558 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$20,295 Vol.
75%
民主党
$19,264 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 2nd congressional district underwent redistricting in 2026 following court rulings and legislative action, shifting boundaries to increase its Republican lean and reduce the Black voting-age population share. This change has positioned the seat as a prime target for national Republican efforts to flip it from Democratic control. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces a competitive general election under the new map, while multiple Republicans compete in the August 11 primary. Trader consensus at 74.5% for the Republican Party reflects the altered electoral math, Alabama's partisan baseline, and limited polling showing GOP advantages, though Democratic fundraising and turnout mobilization in remaining strongholds introduce uncertainty ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$39,558終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 2nd congressional district underwent redistricting in 2026 following court rulings and legislative action, shifting boundaries to increase its Republican lean and reduce the Black voting-age population share. This change has positioned the seat as a prime target for national Republican efforts to flip it from Democratic control. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces a competitive general election under the new map, while multiple Republicans compete in the August 11 primary. Trader consensus at 74.5% for the Republican Party reflects the altered electoral math, Alabama's partisan baseline, and limited polling showing GOP advantages, though Democratic fundraising and turnout mobilization in remaining strongholds introduce uncertainty ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,558終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 2nd congressional district underwent redistricting in 2026 following court rulings and legislative action, shifting boundaries to increase its Republican lean and reduce the Black voting-age population share. This change has positioned the seat as a prime target for national Republican efforts to flip it from Democratic control. Incumbent Shomari Figures (D) faces a competitive general election under the new map, while multiple Republicans compete in the August 11 primary. Trader consensus at 74.5% for the Republican Party reflects the altered electoral math, Alabama's partisan baseline, and limited polling showing GOP advantages, though Democratic fundraising and turnout mobilization in remaining strongholds introduce uncertainty ahead of November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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