Incumbent Mike Rogers maintains a commanding lead in Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Cook PVI and consistent history of large GOP margins. Rogers secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the May primary and benefits from substantial defense-industry fundraising tied to his role chairing the House Armed Services Committee. Democrat Lee McInnis advanced unopposed after raising minimal funds. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting Rogers, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,599 Vol.
$42,599 Vol.
2026/11/03
マイク・ロジャース（共和党）
96%
リー・マキニス（民主党）
<1%
$42,599 Vol.
$42,599 Vol.
2026/11/03
マイク・ロジャース（共和党）
$23,837 Vol.
96%
リー・マキニス（民主党）
$18,762 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Rogers maintains a commanding lead in Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Cook PVI and consistent history of large GOP margins. Rogers secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the May primary and benefits from substantial defense-industry fundraising tied to his role chairing the House Armed Services Committee. Democrat Lee McInnis advanced unopposed after raising minimal funds. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting Rogers, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$42,599終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Rogers maintains a commanding lead in Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Cook PVI and consistent history of large GOP margins. Rogers secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the May primary and benefits from substantial defense-industry fundraising tied to his role chairing the House Armed Services Committee. Democrat Lee McInnis advanced unopposed after raising minimal funds. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting Rogers, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,599終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mike Rogers maintains a commanding lead in Alabama’s 3rd Congressional District due to the district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+23 Cook PVI and consistent history of large GOP margins. Rogers secured his party’s nomination with 83 percent in the May primary and benefits from substantial defense-industry fundraising tied to his role chairing the House Armed Services Committee. Democrat Lee McInnis advanced unopposed after raising minimal funds. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting Rogers, or dramatic national political shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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