Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with a decisive margin over challenger Terri LaPoint, positioning him against Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election for Alabama's 3rd congressional district. The seat's longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in consistent safe or solid ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Recent primary results and the district's voter composition have reinforced this positioning ahead of the general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial structural barriers to an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,856 Vol.
$18,856 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$18,856 Vol.
$18,856 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,833 Vol.
92%
民主党
$10,024 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with a decisive margin over challenger Terri LaPoint, positioning him against Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election for Alabama's 3rd congressional district. The seat's longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in consistent safe or solid ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Recent primary results and the district's voter composition have reinforced this positioning ahead of the general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial structural barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$18,856終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with a decisive margin over challenger Terri LaPoint, positioning him against Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election for Alabama's 3rd congressional district. The seat's longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in consistent safe or solid ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Recent primary results and the district's voter composition have reinforced this positioning ahead of the general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial structural barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,856終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with a decisive margin over challenger Terri LaPoint, positioning him against Democrat Lee McInnis in the November general election for Alabama's 3rd congressional district. The seat's longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in consistent safe or solid ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Recent primary results and the district's voter composition have reinforced this positioning ahead of the general election. A late-breaking scandal, significant national political shift, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district indicate substantial structural barriers to an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問