Alabama's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan voting index exceeding R+20, combined with incumbent Mike Rogers' long tenure and recent primary victory, which have solidified trader consensus around Republican control at 93.5%. The Democratic nominee advanced unopposed from a canceled primary with limited visibility in this solidly red district. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, a major national political shift before November 2026, or last-minute legal changes to district boundaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,856 Vol.
$33,856 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
2%
$33,856 Vol.
$33,856 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$19,074 Vol.
94%
民主党
$14,782 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan voting index exceeding R+20, combined with incumbent Mike Rogers' long tenure and recent primary victory, which have solidified trader consensus around Republican control at 93.5%. The Democratic nominee advanced unopposed from a canceled primary with limited visibility in this solidly red district. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, a major national political shift before November 2026, or last-minute legal changes to district boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$33,856終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan voting index exceeding R+20, combined with incumbent Mike Rogers' long tenure and recent primary victory, which have solidified trader consensus around Republican control at 93.5%. The Democratic nominee advanced unopposed from a canceled primary with limited visibility in this solidly red district. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, a major national political shift before November 2026, or last-minute legal changes to district boundaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,856終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan voting index exceeding R+20, combined with incumbent Mike Rogers' long tenure and recent primary victory, which have solidified trader consensus around Republican control at 93.5%. The Democratic nominee advanced unopposed from a canceled primary with limited visibility in this solidly red district. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid Republican, aligning with historical margins and the absence of competitive challengers. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, a major national political shift before November 2026, or last-minute legal changes to district boundaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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