Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 83 percent of the vote in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, setting up a general-election matchup against Democrat Lee McInnis. The district's strong Republican lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report partisan voting index of R+23 and Donald Trump's 73 percent share in the prior presidential contest—underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Rogers has held the seat since 2003, routinely posting general-election margins above 70 points, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district further reinforce the current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually large national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this East Alabama seat suggest such shifts would need to be substantial to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,856 Vol.
$18,856 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$18,856 Vol.
$18,856 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,833 Vol.
92%
民主党
$10,024 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 83 percent of the vote in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, setting up a general-election matchup against Democrat Lee McInnis. The district's strong Republican lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report partisan voting index of R+23 and Donald Trump's 73 percent share in the prior presidential contest—underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Rogers has held the seat since 2003, routinely posting general-election margins above 70 points, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district further reinforce the current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually large national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this East Alabama seat suggest such shifts would need to be substantial to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$18,856終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 83 percent of the vote in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, setting up a general-election matchup against Democrat Lee McInnis. The district's strong Republican lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report partisan voting index of R+23 and Donald Trump's 73 percent share in the prior presidential contest—underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Rogers has held the seat since 2003, routinely posting general-election margins above 70 points, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district further reinforce the current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually large national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this East Alabama seat suggest such shifts would need to be substantial to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,856終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Rogers secured the nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 83 percent of the vote in Alabama's 3rd Congressional District, setting up a general-election matchup against Democrat Lee McInnis. The district's strong Republican lean—reflected in a Cook Political Report partisan voting index of R+23 and Donald Trump's 73 percent share in the prior presidential contest—underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Rogers has held the seat since 2003, routinely posting general-election margins above 70 points, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district further reinforce the current pricing. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually large national Democratic wave could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in this East Alabama seat suggest such shifts would need to be substantial to alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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