Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier is seeking re-election in Washington’s 8th district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has favored Democratic performance in recent cycles. Schrier won 54% in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash on hand. Race raters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 4, 2026 top-two primary. Multiple Republicans have filed, but none have emerged as strong challengers. Midterm dynamics and the district’s suburban and exurban composition further support the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee over Republican alternatives in the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
58%
共和党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$753 Vol.
58%
共和党
$170 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier is seeking re-election in Washington’s 8th district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has favored Democratic performance in recent cycles. Schrier won 54% in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash on hand. Race raters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 4, 2026 top-two primary. Multiple Republicans have filed, but none have emerged as strong challengers. Midterm dynamics and the district’s suburban and exurban composition further support the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee over Republican alternatives in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$924終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier is seeking re-election in Washington’s 8th district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has favored Democratic performance in recent cycles. Schrier won 54% in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash on hand. Race raters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 4, 2026 top-two primary. Multiple Republicans have filed, but none have emerged as strong challengers. Midterm dynamics and the district’s suburban and exurban composition further support the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee over Republican alternatives in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$924終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier is seeking re-election in Washington’s 8th district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 and has favored Democratic performance in recent cycles. Schrier won 54% in 2024 and maintains a substantial fundraising edge with millions in cash on hand. Race raters including Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the August 4, 2026 top-two primary. Multiple Republicans have filed, but none have emerged as strong challengers. Midterm dynamics and the district’s suburban and exurban composition further support the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee over Republican alternatives in the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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