Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet seeks re-election in Michigan’s 8th congressional district, a seat she captured in 2024 and which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+1. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the incumbent’s established position and early fundraising edge ahead of the August 4 Republican primary and November 3 general election. These factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party the leading implied probability, while the Republican side remains fragmented with multiple primary contenders and limited recent polling momentum. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline positioning in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
8%
民主党
60%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$178 Vol.
8%
民主党
$600 Vol.
60%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet seeks re-election in Michigan’s 8th congressional district, a seat she captured in 2024 and which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+1. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the incumbent’s established position and early fundraising edge ahead of the August 4 Republican primary and November 3 general election. These factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party the leading implied probability, while the Republican side remains fragmented with multiple primary contenders and limited recent polling momentum. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline positioning in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ET
音量
$778終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet seeks re-election in Michigan’s 8th congressional district, a seat she captured in 2024 and which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+1. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the incumbent’s established position and early fundraising edge ahead of the August 4 Republican primary and November 3 general election. These factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party the leading implied probability, while the Republican side remains fragmented with multiple primary contenders and limited recent polling momentum. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline positioning in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$778終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kristen McDonald Rivet seeks re-election in Michigan’s 8th congressional district, a seat she captured in 2024 and which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+1. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Lean or Likely Democratic, reflecting the incumbent’s established position and early fundraising edge ahead of the August 4 Republican primary and November 3 general election. These factors underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party the leading implied probability, while the Republican side remains fragmented with multiple primary contenders and limited recent polling momentum. No major late-breaking developments have altered the baseline positioning in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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