Republican incumbent Tom McClintock’s long tenure since 2009 anchors trader consensus for the Republican Party at 83 percent in the CA-05 House race. The district carries an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and receives Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. No significant primary challenge has emerged ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, preserving the seat’s consistent Republican lean through the November general election. Democratic prospects remain limited by the structural partisan advantage and absence of competitive momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
17%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,864 Vol.
83%
民主党
$1,478 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tom McClintock’s long tenure since 2009 anchors trader consensus for the Republican Party at 83 percent in the CA-05 House race. The district carries an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and receives Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. No significant primary challenge has emerged ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, preserving the seat’s consistent Republican lean through the November general election. Democratic prospects remain limited by the structural partisan advantage and absence of competitive momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$5,342終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Tom McClintock’s long tenure since 2009 anchors trader consensus for the Republican Party at 83 percent in the CA-05 House race. The district carries an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and receives Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. No significant primary challenge has emerged ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, preserving the seat’s consistent Republican lean through the November general election. Democratic prospects remain limited by the structural partisan advantage and absence of competitive momentum.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,342終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Tom McClintock’s long tenure since 2009 anchors trader consensus for the Republican Party at 83 percent in the CA-05 House race. The district carries an R+8 to R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and receives Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. No significant primary challenge has emerged ahead of the June 2 top-two primary, preserving the seat’s consistent Republican lean through the November general election. Democratic prospects remain limited by the structural partisan advantage and absence of competitive momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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