Missouri’s 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver facing Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome following the Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling that the old district boundaries will apply, preserving the seat’s Democratic lean after prior mid-decade redistricting efforts had aimed to add Republican-leaning rural counties. Cleaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Brattin secured the GOP nomination in August. The reversion to prior lines, which include a larger share of Kansas City voters, underpins the current implied probabilities, though ongoing litigation or turnout shifts in suburban and urban areas could still influence the final result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,289 Vol.
$19,289 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
78%
共和党
21%
$19,289 Vol.
$19,289 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,436 Vol.
78%
共和党
$12,853 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver facing Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome following the Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling that the old district boundaries will apply, preserving the seat’s Democratic lean after prior mid-decade redistricting efforts had aimed to add Republican-leaning rural counties. Cleaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Brattin secured the GOP nomination in August. The reversion to prior lines, which include a larger share of Kansas City voters, underpins the current implied probabilities, though ongoing litigation or turnout shifts in suburban and urban areas could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$19,289終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver facing Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome following the Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling that the old district boundaries will apply, preserving the seat’s Democratic lean after prior mid-decade redistricting efforts had aimed to add Republican-leaning rural counties. Cleaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Brattin secured the GOP nomination in August. The reversion to prior lines, which include a larger share of Kansas City voters, underpins the current implied probabilities, though ongoing litigation or turnout shifts in suburban and urban areas could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,289終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 5th congressional district race features incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver facing Republican nominee Rick Brattin in the November 2026 general election. Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic outcome following the Missouri Supreme Court’s early September ruling that the old district boundaries will apply, preserving the seat’s Democratic lean after prior mid-decade redistricting efforts had aimed to add Republican-leaning rural counties. Cleaver ran unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Brattin secured the GOP nomination in August. The reversion to prior lines, which include a larger share of Kansas City voters, underpins the current implied probabilities, though ongoing litigation or turnout shifts in suburban and urban areas could still influence the final result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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