Missouri's 5th congressional district remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election due to recent redistricting that expanded the seat eastward, incorporating additional counties and shifting its partisan lean while preserving incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver's base in Kansas City. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new map in May 2026, prompting six Republicans—including Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, and Brett Hueffmeier—to file for the August 4 primary. Fundraising leads for Burks and endorsements from state figures highlight an active GOP field, while a late-May visit by Vice President Vance underscored national Republican interest. Expert ratings diverge between solid Democratic and solid Republican assessments, reflecting uncertainty over turnout in the altered district and the outcome of the crowded primary, which keeps implied probabilities for either party near even.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
73%
民主党
34%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$1,736 Vol.
73%
民主党
$1,171 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election due to recent redistricting that expanded the seat eastward, incorporating additional counties and shifting its partisan lean while preserving incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver's base in Kansas City. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new map in May 2026, prompting six Republicans—including Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, and Brett Hueffmeier—to file for the August 4 primary. Fundraising leads for Burks and endorsements from state figures highlight an active GOP field, while a late-May visit by Vice President Vance underscored national Republican interest. Expert ratings diverge between solid Democratic and solid Republican assessments, reflecting uncertainty over turnout in the altered district and the outcome of the crowded primary, which keeps implied probabilities for either party near even.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$2,908終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 5th congressional district remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election due to recent redistricting that expanded the seat eastward, incorporating additional counties and shifting its partisan lean while preserving incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver's base in Kansas City. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new map in May 2026, prompting six Republicans—including Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, and Brett Hueffmeier—to file for the August 4 primary. Fundraising leads for Burks and endorsements from state figures highlight an active GOP field, while a late-May visit by Vice President Vance underscored national Republican interest. Expert ratings diverge between solid Democratic and solid Republican assessments, reflecting uncertainty over turnout in the altered district and the outcome of the crowded primary, which keeps implied probabilities for either party near even.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,908終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 5th congressional district remains closely contested ahead of the November 2026 general election due to recent redistricting that expanded the seat eastward, incorporating additional counties and shifting its partisan lean while preserving incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver's base in Kansas City. The Missouri Supreme Court upheld the new map in May 2026, prompting six Republicans—including Taylor Burks, Rick Brattin, and Brett Hueffmeier—to file for the August 4 primary. Fundraising leads for Burks and endorsements from state figures highlight an active GOP field, while a late-May visit by Vice President Vance underscored national Republican interest. Expert ratings diverge between solid Democratic and solid Republican assessments, reflecting uncertainty over turnout in the altered district and the outcome of the crowded primary, which keeps implied probabilities for either party near even.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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