Missouri’s redrawn congressional map, upheld following legal challenges and finalized in May 2026, reconfigures the 5th district by adding rural counties east of Kansas City while reducing its urban Democratic core. This shift converted the seat from a longtime Democratic hold into one rated solidly Republican by forecasters, driving trader consensus toward the GOP nominee. Multiple Republicans filed for the August 4 primary, including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others positioning as conservatives, while incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces primary challengers. With the general election set for November 3 and the new boundaries favoring Republican performance in recent cycles, the market reflects expectations that the eventual GOP candidate will prevail in the general.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
71%
民主党
29%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$1,729 Vol.
71%
民主党
$1,171 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s redrawn congressional map, upheld following legal challenges and finalized in May 2026, reconfigures the 5th district by adding rural counties east of Kansas City while reducing its urban Democratic core. This shift converted the seat from a longtime Democratic hold into one rated solidly Republican by forecasters, driving trader consensus toward the GOP nominee. Multiple Republicans filed for the August 4 primary, including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others positioning as conservatives, while incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces primary challengers. With the general election set for November 3 and the new boundaries favoring Republican performance in recent cycles, the market reflects expectations that the eventual GOP candidate will prevail in the general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$2,901終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s redrawn congressional map, upheld following legal challenges and finalized in May 2026, reconfigures the 5th district by adding rural counties east of Kansas City while reducing its urban Democratic core. This shift converted the seat from a longtime Democratic hold into one rated solidly Republican by forecasters, driving trader consensus toward the GOP nominee. Multiple Republicans filed for the August 4 primary, including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others positioning as conservatives, while incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces primary challengers. With the general election set for November 3 and the new boundaries favoring Republican performance in recent cycles, the market reflects expectations that the eventual GOP candidate will prevail in the general.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,901終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s redrawn congressional map, upheld following legal challenges and finalized in May 2026, reconfigures the 5th district by adding rural counties east of Kansas City while reducing its urban Democratic core. This shift converted the seat from a longtime Democratic hold into one rated solidly Republican by forecasters, driving trader consensus toward the GOP nominee. Multiple Republicans filed for the August 4 primary, including state Sen. Rick Brattin and others positioning as conservatives, while incumbent Democrat Emanuel Cleaver faces primary challengers. With the general election set for November 3 and the new boundaries favoring Republican performance in recent cycles, the market reflects expectations that the eventual GOP candidate will prevail in the general.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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