Republican incumbent Ann Wagner seeks reelection in Missouri’s 2nd district, a suburban St. Louis area rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean. Wagner won 54.5% in 2024, and the seat has remained in GOP hands since 2012. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the district to its target list in April 2025, the first time since 2020, citing suburban voter trends. Primaries occur August 4, 2026, with multiple Democratic candidates filed and Wagner unopposed on the Republican side. The November 3 general election timeline and limited recent polling keep the race competitive but favor the incumbent’s structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
24%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,185 Vol.
75%
民主党
$3,742 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner seeks reelection in Missouri’s 2nd district, a suburban St. Louis area rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean. Wagner won 54.5% in 2024, and the seat has remained in GOP hands since 2012. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the district to its target list in April 2025, the first time since 2020, citing suburban voter trends. Primaries occur August 4, 2026, with multiple Democratic candidates filed and Wagner unopposed on the Republican side. The November 3 general election timeline and limited recent polling keep the race competitive but favor the incumbent’s structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$7,926終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Ann Wagner seeks reelection in Missouri’s 2nd district, a suburban St. Louis area rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean. Wagner won 54.5% in 2024, and the seat has remained in GOP hands since 2012. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the district to its target list in April 2025, the first time since 2020, citing suburban voter trends. Primaries occur August 4, 2026, with multiple Democratic candidates filed and Wagner unopposed on the Republican side. The November 3 general election timeline and limited recent polling keep the race competitive but favor the incumbent’s structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,926終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ann Wagner seeks reelection in Missouri’s 2nd district, a suburban St. Louis area rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+6 partisan lean. Wagner won 54.5% in 2024, and the seat has remained in GOP hands since 2012. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee added the district to its target list in April 2025, the first time since 2020, citing suburban voter trends. Primaries occur August 4, 2026, with multiple Democratic candidates filed and Wagner unopposed on the Republican side. The November 3 general election timeline and limited recent polling keep the race competitive but favor the incumbent’s structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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