Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and her long tenure since 2013. The district’s partisan baseline, shown in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index near R+6, supports her position as the favorite. Wagner secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a U.S. Army veteran, prevailed in a closer Democratic contest. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Campaign messaging has centered on candidate backgrounds, district economic concerns, and national midterm dynamics, yet no recent polling or events have shifted the structural advantages favoring the incumbent. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while leaving room for late-cycle movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,145 Vol.
$15,145 Vol.
2026/11/02
アン・ワグナー（共和党）
69%
フレッド・ウェルマン（民主党）
33%
$15,145 Vol.
$15,145 Vol.
2026/11/02
アン・ワグナー（共和党）
$6,457 Vol.
69%
フレッド・ウェルマン（民主党）
$8,689 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and her long tenure since 2013. The district’s partisan baseline, shown in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index near R+6, supports her position as the favorite. Wagner secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a U.S. Army veteran, prevailed in a closer Democratic contest. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Campaign messaging has centered on candidate backgrounds, district economic concerns, and national midterm dynamics, yet no recent polling or events have shifted the structural advantages favoring the incumbent. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while leaving room for late-cycle movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$15,145終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and her long tenure since 2013. The district’s partisan baseline, shown in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index near R+6, supports her position as the favorite. Wagner secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a U.S. Army veteran, prevailed in a closer Democratic contest. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Campaign messaging has centered on candidate backgrounds, district economic concerns, and national midterm dynamics, yet no recent polling or events have shifted the structural advantages favoring the incumbent. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while leaving room for late-cycle movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,145終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat’s Republican lean and her long tenure since 2013. The district’s partisan baseline, shown in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index near R+6, supports her position as the favorite. Wagner secured her party’s nomination comfortably in the August 4 primary, while Democrat Fred Wellman, a U.S. Army veteran, prevailed in a closer Democratic contest. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Republican. Campaign messaging has centered on candidate backgrounds, district economic concerns, and national midterm dynamics, yet no recent polling or events have shifted the structural advantages favoring the incumbent. Trader consensus prices in these fundamentals while leaving room for late-cycle movement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問