The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s R+6 partisan voting index, its suburban St. Louis composition, and seven-term incumbent Ann Wagner’s established fundraising and name recognition. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Democrats have placed the district on target lists for the first time in years, citing suburban shifts, yet early polling shows Wagner competitive or ahead of leading Democratic primary contender Frederick Wellman. Republican primary challengers remain fragmented, while Democratic contenders continue to consolidate behind Wellman’s fundraising lead. These structural and organizational factors sustain trader consensus around a Republican victory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
77%
民主党
22%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,148 Vol.
77%
民主党
$2,238 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s R+6 partisan voting index, its suburban St. Louis composition, and seven-term incumbent Ann Wagner’s established fundraising and name recognition. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Democrats have placed the district on target lists for the first time in years, citing suburban shifts, yet early polling shows Wagner competitive or ahead of leading Democratic primary contender Frederick Wellman. Republican primary challengers remain fragmented, while Democratic contenders continue to consolidate behind Wellman’s fundraising lead. These structural and organizational factors sustain trader consensus around a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$5,386終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s R+6 partisan voting index, its suburban St. Louis composition, and seven-term incumbent Ann Wagner’s established fundraising and name recognition. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Democrats have placed the district on target lists for the first time in years, citing suburban shifts, yet early polling shows Wagner competitive or ahead of leading Democratic primary contender Frederick Wellman. Republican primary challengers remain fragmented, while Democratic contenders continue to consolidate behind Wellman’s fundraising lead. These structural and organizational factors sustain trader consensus around a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,386終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a clear edge in Missouri’s 2nd Congressional District, reflecting the seat’s R+6 partisan voting index, its suburban St. Louis composition, and seven-term incumbent Ann Wagner’s established fundraising and name recognition. Multiple forecasters rate the race Solid Republican ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. Democrats have placed the district on target lists for the first time in years, citing suburban shifts, yet early polling shows Wagner competitive or ahead of leading Democratic primary contender Frederick Wellman. Republican primary challengers remain fragmented, while Democratic contenders continue to consolidate behind Wellman’s fundraising lead. These structural and organizational factors sustain trader consensus around a Republican victory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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