Missouri’s 2nd congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe for the GOP. Incumbent Representative Ann Wagner, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024, benefits from established fundraising and organizational advantages as multiple Republican primary candidates file ahead of the August 4 contest. Democratic efforts to target the suburban St. Louis seat for the first time in several cycles have produced a primary field led by Frederick Wellman, yet historical margins and the district’s composition keep the implied probability of a Democratic general-election victory well below even odds. With primaries still months away and no major recent shifts in candidate dynamics or external events, trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome the leading position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
78%
民主党
20%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,095 Vol.
78%
民主党
$2,217 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 2nd congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe for the GOP. Incumbent Representative Ann Wagner, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024, benefits from established fundraising and organizational advantages as multiple Republican primary candidates file ahead of the August 4 contest. Democratic efforts to target the suburban St. Louis seat for the first time in several cycles have produced a primary field led by Frederick Wellman, yet historical margins and the district’s composition keep the implied probability of a Democratic general-election victory well below even odds. With primaries still months away and no major recent shifts in candidate dynamics or external events, trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome the leading position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$5,312終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 2nd congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe for the GOP. Incumbent Representative Ann Wagner, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024, benefits from established fundraising and organizational advantages as multiple Republican primary candidates file ahead of the August 4 contest. Democratic efforts to target the suburban St. Louis seat for the first time in several cycles have produced a primary field led by Frederick Wellman, yet historical margins and the district’s composition keep the implied probability of a Democratic general-election victory well below even odds. With primaries still months away and no major recent shifts in candidate dynamics or external events, trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome the leading position.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,312終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 2nd congressional district maintains a Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe for the GOP. Incumbent Representative Ann Wagner, first elected in 2012 and re-elected in 2024, benefits from established fundraising and organizational advantages as multiple Republican primary candidates file ahead of the August 4 contest. Democratic efforts to target the suburban St. Louis seat for the first time in several cycles have produced a primary field led by Frederick Wellman, yet historical margins and the district’s composition keep the implied probability of a Democratic general-election victory well below even odds. With primaries still months away and no major recent shifts in candidate dynamics or external events, trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome the leading position.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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