Missouri’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the 91% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Bob Onder, first elected in 2024 with 61% of the vote, faces only token primary opposition while the district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly 10 points. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Multiple Democratic primary contenders are competing for the nomination, yet the general-election environment and historical margins limit their prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected primary outcome could still alter the trajectory before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$67 Vol.
91%
民主党
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the 91% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Bob Onder, first elected in 2024 with 61% of the vote, faces only token primary opposition while the district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly 10 points. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Multiple Democratic primary contenders are competing for the nomination, yet the general-election environment and historical margins limit their prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected primary outcome could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$67終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the 91% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Bob Onder, first elected in 2024 with 61% of the vote, faces only token primary opposition while the district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly 10 points. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Multiple Democratic primary contenders are competing for the nomination, yet the general-election environment and historical margins limit their prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected primary outcome could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$67終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the 91% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Bob Onder, first elected in 2024 with 61% of the vote, faces only token primary opposition while the district’s partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly 10 points. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the race Safe or Solid Republican. Multiple Democratic primary contenders are competing for the nomination, yet the general-election environment and historical margins limit their prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political shift, or unexpected primary outcome could still alter the trajectory before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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