Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its partisan voting index and recent election results, including the incumbent's 61 percent share in 2024. Freshman Representative Bob Onder, the Republican nominee, faces limited general-election opposition in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters, while Democratic primary contenders including repeat candidate Bethany Mann compete in an open primary scheduled for August 4. The general election on November 3 occurs in a district that delivered decisive Republican margins in the prior presidential cycle. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition, though a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$67 Vol.
91%
民主党
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its partisan voting index and recent election results, including the incumbent's 61 percent share in 2024. Freshman Representative Bob Onder, the Republican nominee, faces limited general-election opposition in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters, while Democratic primary contenders including repeat candidate Bethany Mann compete in an open primary scheduled for August 4. The general election on November 3 occurs in a district that delivered decisive Republican margins in the prior presidential cycle. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition, though a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$67終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its partisan voting index and recent election results, including the incumbent's 61 percent share in 2024. Freshman Representative Bob Onder, the Republican nominee, faces limited general-election opposition in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters, while Democratic primary contenders including repeat candidate Bethany Mann compete in an open primary scheduled for August 4. The general election on November 3 occurs in a district that delivered decisive Republican margins in the prior presidential cycle. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition, though a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$67終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt rooted in its partisan voting index and recent election results, including the incumbent's 61 percent share in 2024. Freshman Representative Bob Onder, the Republican nominee, faces limited general-election opposition in a seat rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters, while Democratic primary contenders including repeat candidate Bethany Mann compete in an open primary scheduled for August 4. The general election on November 3 occurs in a district that delivered decisive Republican margins in the prior presidential cycle. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition, though a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unanticipated national shift could narrow the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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