The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$67 Vol.
92%
民主党
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$67終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$67終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a commanding lead in Missouri's 3rd Congressional District race due to the seat's strong Republican partisan lean and the presence of incumbent Representative Bob Onder, who won the 2024 general election with 61 percent. The district, which includes St. Charles County and portions of central Missouri, has consistently delivered substantial Republican margins in recent cycles. Onder faces a primary challenge from John Fraser ahead of the August 4, 2026, primary, while multiple Democratic candidates including Bethany Mann are competing in their primary. Trader consensus reflects the limited competitiveness of the general election on November 3, 2026. A major national Democratic wave, an unexpected primary upset, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a flip unlikely without significant shifts in voter behavior or redistricting changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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