Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Missouri's 3rd congressional district, which encompasses St. Charles County and extends into parts of central Missouri. The seat's consistent Republican performance, including Onder's 2024 victory margin, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% implied probability. Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who also prevailed in her primary, faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Republicans since 2013. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,835 Vol.
$21,835 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
91%
民主党
8%
$21,835 Vol.
$21,835 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$6,524 Vol.
91%
民主党
$15,311 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Missouri's 3rd congressional district, which encompasses St. Charles County and extends into parts of central Missouri. The seat's consistent Republican performance, including Onder's 2024 victory margin, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% implied probability. Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who also prevailed in her primary, faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Republicans since 2013. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$21,835終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Missouri's 3rd congressional district, which encompasses St. Charles County and extends into parts of central Missouri. The seat's consistent Republican performance, including Onder's 2024 victory margin, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% implied probability. Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who also prevailed in her primary, faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Republicans since 2013. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,835終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Bob Onder secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner in Missouri's 3rd congressional district, which encompasses St. Charles County and extends into parts of central Missouri. The seat's consistent Republican performance, including Onder's 2024 victory margin, combined with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Republican, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% implied probability. Democratic nominee Bethany Mann, who also prevailed in her primary, faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Republicans since 2013. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event for the incumbent, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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