Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested in trader pricing because its R+2 partisan voting index and recent 54% Republican performance create a marginal seat that Democrats have identified as a 2026 target. Incumbent Bryan Steil benefits from name recognition and established fundraising, yet the filing deadline passed in early June with Democratic primary contenders already declared ahead of the August 11 vote. National midterm dynamics, including potential shifts in turnout among suburban and working-class voters in areas like Kenosha and Racine, continue to influence assessments. Upcoming primary results and any late candidate entries could clarify paths for either party before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
57%
共和党
52%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$586 Vol.
57%
共和党
$643 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested in trader pricing because its R+2 partisan voting index and recent 54% Republican performance create a marginal seat that Democrats have identified as a 2026 target. Incumbent Bryan Steil benefits from name recognition and established fundraising, yet the filing deadline passed in early June with Democratic primary contenders already declared ahead of the August 11 vote. National midterm dynamics, including potential shifts in turnout among suburban and working-class voters in areas like Kenosha and Racine, continue to influence assessments. Upcoming primary results and any late candidate entries could clarify paths for either party before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$1,229終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested in trader pricing because its R+2 partisan voting index and recent 54% Republican performance create a marginal seat that Democrats have identified as a 2026 target. Incumbent Bryan Steil benefits from name recognition and established fundraising, yet the filing deadline passed in early June with Democratic primary contenders already declared ahead of the August 11 vote. National midterm dynamics, including potential shifts in turnout among suburban and working-class voters in areas like Kenosha and Racine, continue to influence assessments. Upcoming primary results and any late candidate entries could clarify paths for either party before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,229終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 1st congressional district remains tightly contested in trader pricing because its R+2 partisan voting index and recent 54% Republican performance create a marginal seat that Democrats have identified as a 2026 target. Incumbent Bryan Steil benefits from name recognition and established fundraising, yet the filing deadline passed in early June with Democratic primary contenders already declared ahead of the August 11 vote. National midterm dynamics, including potential shifts in turnout among suburban and working-class voters in areas like Kenosha and Racine, continue to influence assessments. Upcoming primary results and any late candidate entries could clarify paths for either party before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問