Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan faces only a nominal primary challenge ahead of the August 11 vote and no notable Republican opponent for the November general election, aligning with unanimous nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Democratic nominee tracks these structural factors, including fundraising dominance and absence of competitive dynamics. Late developments such as a primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen redistricting could still alter general election positioning before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$97,609 Vol.
$97,609 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
2%
$97,609 Vol.
$97,609 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$58,329 Vol.
94%
共和党
$39,281 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan faces only a nominal primary challenge ahead of the August 11 vote and no notable Republican opponent for the November general election, aligning with unanimous nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Democratic nominee tracks these structural factors, including fundraising dominance and absence of competitive dynamics. Late developments such as a primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen redistricting could still alter general election positioning before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$97,609終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan faces only a nominal primary challenge ahead of the August 11 vote and no notable Republican opponent for the November general election, aligning with unanimous nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Democratic nominee tracks these structural factors, including fundraising dominance and absence of competitive dynamics. Late developments such as a primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen redistricting could still alter general election positioning before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$97,609終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan faces only a nominal primary challenge ahead of the August 11 vote and no notable Republican opponent for the November general election, aligning with unanimous nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Democratic nominee tracks these structural factors, including fundraising dominance and absence of competitive dynamics. Late developments such as a primary upset, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen redistricting could still alter general election positioning before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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