Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 70 percent-plus margin in 2024. The absence of a Republican nominee by the June 2026 filing deadline has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic outcome, leaving only a minor primary challenge on August 11 before the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Historical turnout patterns in the Madison-anchored district further support this positioning. Late developments such as an unexpected independent candidacy or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could still alter probabilities, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current filings and structural factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$91,275 Vol.
$91,275 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
97%
共和党
4%
$91,275 Vol.
$91,275 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$53,710 Vol.
97%
共和党
$37,565 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 70 percent-plus margin in 2024. The absence of a Republican nominee by the June 2026 filing deadline has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic outcome, leaving only a minor primary challenge on August 11 before the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Historical turnout patterns in the Madison-anchored district further support this positioning. Late developments such as an unexpected independent candidacy or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could still alter probabilities, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current filings and structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$91,275終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 70 percent-plus margin in 2024. The absence of a Republican nominee by the June 2026 filing deadline has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic outcome, leaving only a minor primary challenge on August 11 before the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Historical turnout patterns in the Madison-anchored district further support this positioning. Late developments such as an unexpected independent candidacy or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could still alter probabilities, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current filings and structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$91,275終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 70 percent-plus margin in 2024. The absence of a Republican nominee by the June 2026 filing deadline has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic outcome, leaving only a minor primary challenge on August 11 before the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Historical turnout patterns in the Madison-anchored district further support this positioning. Late developments such as an unexpected independent candidacy or significant shifts in national midterm dynamics could still alter probabilities, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current filings and structural factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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