The solidly Democratic character of Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored by Madison and carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No Republican candidate met the June 2026 filing deadline, leaving incumbent Mark Pocan to face only a minor primary opponent on August 11 before the November 3 general election. This outcome aligns with the district’s consistent partisan leanings and historical turnout patterns that have produced Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Credible late ballot access, a successful write-in campaign, or an unforeseen vacancy remain the primary variables that could still alter probabilities before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$91,245 Vol.
$91,245 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$91,245 Vol.
$91,245 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$53,680 Vol.
97%
共和党
$37,565 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored by Madison and carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No Republican candidate met the June 2026 filing deadline, leaving incumbent Mark Pocan to face only a minor primary opponent on August 11 before the November 3 general election. This outcome aligns with the district’s consistent partisan leanings and historical turnout patterns that have produced Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Credible late ballot access, a successful write-in campaign, or an unforeseen vacancy remain the primary variables that could still alter probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$91,245終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored by Madison and carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No Republican candidate met the June 2026 filing deadline, leaving incumbent Mark Pocan to face only a minor primary opponent on August 11 before the November 3 general election. This outcome aligns with the district’s consistent partisan leanings and historical turnout patterns that have produced Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Credible late ballot access, a successful write-in campaign, or an unforeseen vacancy remain the primary variables that could still alter probabilities before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$91,245終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic character of Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored by Madison and carrying a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. No Republican candidate met the June 2026 filing deadline, leaving incumbent Mark Pocan to face only a minor primary opponent on August 11 before the November 3 general election. This outcome aligns with the district’s consistent partisan leanings and historical turnout patterns that have produced Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Credible late ballot access, a successful write-in campaign, or an unforeseen vacancy remain the primary variables that could still alter probabilities before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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