The open-seat race in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany’s bid for governor, remains structurally favorable to the GOP in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and the district’s northern and rural voter base. The crowded Republican primary on August 11 features multiple candidates, including early frontrunner Michael Alfonso, while Democrats contest their own primary; neither contest has produced shifts that alter the general-election outlook ahead of November 3. Trader consensus at 83% for a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for comparable open seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,831 Vol.
$19,831 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
83%
民主党
18%
$19,831 Vol.
$19,831 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,396 Vol.
83%
民主党
$10,435 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat race in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany’s bid for governor, remains structurally favorable to the GOP in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and the district’s northern and rural voter base. The crowded Republican primary on August 11 features multiple candidates, including early frontrunner Michael Alfonso, while Democrats contest their own primary; neither contest has produced shifts that alter the general-election outlook ahead of November 3. Trader consensus at 83% for a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for comparable open seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$19,831終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open-seat race in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany’s bid for governor, remains structurally favorable to the GOP in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and the district’s northern and rural voter base. The crowded Republican primary on August 11 features multiple candidates, including early frontrunner Michael Alfonso, while Democrats contest their own primary; neither contest has produced shifts that alter the general-election outlook ahead of November 3. Trader consensus at 83% for a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for comparable open seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,831終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open-seat race in Wisconsin’s 7th congressional district, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany’s bid for governor, remains structurally favorable to the GOP in a district with an R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles and the district’s northern and rural voter base. The crowded Republican primary on August 11 features multiple candidates, including early frontrunner Michael Alfonso, while Democrats contest their own primary; neither contest has produced shifts that alter the general-election outlook ahead of November 3. Trader consensus at 83% for a Republican win aligns with these fundamentals and historical patterns for comparable open seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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