Michael Alfonso holds a commanding lead in the Wisconsin 7th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican voting patterns and his strong position following the August primary. Alfonso, endorsed by President Trump and connected through family ties to former Representative Sean Duffy, defeated multiple challengers to secure the nomination. Independent forecasters rate the open seat—previously held by Tom Tiffany, who is running for governor—as Safe or Solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with a pronounced Republican baseline. Recent campaign activity, including joint public appearances, has not altered the established dynamics. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political shift remain the primary factors that could realistically narrow the margin before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,374 Vol.
$42,374 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・アルフォンソ（共和党）
95%
フレッド・クラーク（民主党）
4%
$42,374 Vol.
$42,374 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイケル・アルフォンソ（共和党）
$21,551 Vol.
95%
フレッド・クラーク（民主党）
$20,823 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso holds a commanding lead in the Wisconsin 7th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican voting patterns and his strong position following the August primary. Alfonso, endorsed by President Trump and connected through family ties to former Representative Sean Duffy, defeated multiple challengers to secure the nomination. Independent forecasters rate the open seat—previously held by Tom Tiffany, who is running for governor—as Safe or Solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with a pronounced Republican baseline. Recent campaign activity, including joint public appearances, has not altered the established dynamics. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political shift remain the primary factors that could realistically narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$42,374終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michael Alfonso holds a commanding lead in the Wisconsin 7th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican voting patterns and his strong position following the August primary. Alfonso, endorsed by President Trump and connected through family ties to former Representative Sean Duffy, defeated multiple challengers to secure the nomination. Independent forecasters rate the open seat—previously held by Tom Tiffany, who is running for governor—as Safe or Solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with a pronounced Republican baseline. Recent campaign activity, including joint public appearances, has not altered the established dynamics. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political shift remain the primary factors that could realistically narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,374終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Michael Alfonso holds a commanding lead in the Wisconsin 7th congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican voting patterns and his strong position following the August primary. Alfonso, endorsed by President Trump and connected through family ties to former Representative Sean Duffy, defeated multiple challengers to secure the nomination. Independent forecasters rate the open seat—previously held by Tom Tiffany, who is running for governor—as Safe or Solid Republican. Democratic nominee Fred Clark advanced from his primary but faces structural headwinds in a district with a pronounced Republican baseline. Recent campaign activity, including joint public appearances, has not altered the established dynamics. Late developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political shift remain the primary factors that could realistically narrow the margin before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問