The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, remains strongly positioned for continued GOP control ahead of the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race raters classify the northwestern Wisconsin district as Solid Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan voting index and the party's consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Michael Alfonso who secured an early endorsement from President Trump, have consolidated support in a field that also features Jessi Ebben and Kevin Hermening, while Democrats face a fragmented August primary among lesser-known candidates. Recent nomination-paper challenges among GOP hopefuls underscore primary intensity but have not altered broader expectations of a comfortable Republican general-election victory. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages alongside limited Democratic infrastructure in the rural district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,389 Vol.
$34,389 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
88%
民主党
13%
$34,389 Vol.
$34,389 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$18,920 Vol.
88%
民主党
$15,469 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, remains strongly positioned for continued GOP control ahead of the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race raters classify the northwestern Wisconsin district as Solid Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan voting index and the party's consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Michael Alfonso who secured an early endorsement from President Trump, have consolidated support in a field that also features Jessi Ebben and Kevin Hermening, while Democrats face a fragmented August primary among lesser-known candidates. Recent nomination-paper challenges among GOP hopefuls underscore primary intensity but have not altered broader expectations of a comfortable Republican general-election victory. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages alongside limited Democratic infrastructure in the rural district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$34,389終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, remains strongly positioned for continued GOP control ahead of the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race raters classify the northwestern Wisconsin district as Solid Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan voting index and the party's consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Michael Alfonso who secured an early endorsement from President Trump, have consolidated support in a field that also features Jessi Ebben and Kevin Hermening, while Democrats face a fragmented August primary among lesser-known candidates. Recent nomination-paper challenges among GOP hopefuls underscore primary intensity but have not altered broader expectations of a comfortable Republican general-election victory. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages alongside limited Democratic infrastructure in the rural district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,389終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open WI-07 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid, remains strongly positioned for continued GOP control ahead of the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan race raters classify the northwestern Wisconsin district as Solid Republican, reflecting its R+11 partisan voting index and the party's consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including Michael Alfonso who secured an early endorsement from President Trump, have consolidated support in a field that also features Jessi Ebben and Kevin Hermening, while Democrats face a fragmented August primary among lesser-known candidates. Recent nomination-paper challenges among GOP hopefuls underscore primary intensity but have not altered broader expectations of a comfortable Republican general-election victory. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages alongside limited Democratic infrastructure in the rural district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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