The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+3, combined with incumbent Eric Sorensen's established record since 2023. Primary results from March 2026 cleared the field for the Democratic candidate with minimal opposition, while the Republican nominee faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Likely or Solid Democratic. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current district fundamentals and fundraising patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,871 Vol.
$13,871 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
$13,871 Vol.
$13,871 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$1,966 Vol.
92%
共和党
$11,905 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+3, combined with incumbent Eric Sorensen's established record since 2023. Primary results from March 2026 cleared the field for the Democratic candidate with minimal opposition, while the Republican nominee faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Likely or Solid Democratic. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current district fundamentals and fundraising patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$13,871終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+3, combined with incumbent Eric Sorensen's established record since 2023. Primary results from March 2026 cleared the field for the Democratic candidate with minimal opposition, while the Republican nominee faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Likely or Solid Democratic. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current district fundamentals and fundraising patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,871終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding position in the Illinois 17th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+3, combined with incumbent Eric Sorensen's established record since 2023. Primary results from March 2026 cleared the field for the Democratic candidate with minimal opposition, while the Republican nominee faces structural challenges in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the contest as Likely or Solid Democratic. A significant national Republican wave, unexpected developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high turnout shifts among key voting blocs could narrow the margin, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current district fundamentals and fundraising patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問