The solidly Democratic tilt of Illinois’s 7th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+34 and a 36.5-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 96.6 percent. Longtime incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement created an open seat, but La Shawn Ford’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded Democratic field and Chad Koppie’s Republican nomination have produced no competitive shift. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, projecting an 80 percent-plus Democratic share. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unprecedented national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet the district’s structural partisan composition and historical voting patterns leave limited realistic pathways for a Republican upset before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,641 Vol.
$26,641 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
97%
共和党
1%
$26,641 Vol.
$26,641 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$12,288 Vol.
97%
共和党
$14,353 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic tilt of Illinois’s 7th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+34 and a 36.5-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 96.6 percent. Longtime incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement created an open seat, but La Shawn Ford’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded Democratic field and Chad Koppie’s Republican nomination have produced no competitive shift. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, projecting an 80 percent-plus Democratic share. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unprecedented national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet the district’s structural partisan composition and historical voting patterns leave limited realistic pathways for a Republican upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$26,641終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic tilt of Illinois’s 7th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+34 and a 36.5-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 96.6 percent. Longtime incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement created an open seat, but La Shawn Ford’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded Democratic field and Chad Koppie’s Republican nomination have produced no competitive shift. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, projecting an 80 percent-plus Democratic share. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unprecedented national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet the district’s structural partisan composition and historical voting patterns leave limited realistic pathways for a Republican upset before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,641終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic tilt of Illinois’s 7th congressional district, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+34 and a 36.5-point margin for Kamala Harris in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 96.6 percent. Longtime incumbent Danny Davis’s retirement created an open seat, but La Shawn Ford’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded Democratic field and Chad Koppie’s Republican nomination have produced no competitive shift. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, projecting an 80 percent-plus Democratic share. A late scandal involving the Democratic nominee, an unprecedented national Republican surge, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, yet the district’s structural partisan composition and historical voting patterns leave limited realistic pathways for a Republican upset before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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