Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with roughly 86 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has been rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Thompson, the longtime incumbent first elected in 1993, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising dominance over the Republican nominee. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89 percent implied probability, with the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026. No significant shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered the outlook in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,090 Vol.
$26,090 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
89%
共和党
11%
$26,090 Vol.
$26,090 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$13,765 Vol.
89%
共和党
$12,325 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with roughly 86 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has been rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Thompson, the longtime incumbent first elected in 1993, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising dominance over the Republican nominee. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89 percent implied probability, with the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026. No significant shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered the outlook in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$26,090終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with roughly 86 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has been rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Thompson, the longtime incumbent first elected in 1993, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising dominance over the Republican nominee. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89 percent implied probability, with the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026. No significant shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered the outlook in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,090終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson secured the Democratic nomination for Mississippi’s 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with roughly 86 percent of the vote, facing minimal opposition. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+11 and has been rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Thompson, the longtime incumbent first elected in 1993, benefits from established name recognition and fundraising dominance over the Republican nominee. These structural factors underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 89 percent implied probability, with the general election scheduled for November 3, 2026. No significant shifts in polling or candidate dynamics have altered the outlook in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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