Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's long tenure since 1993, combined with the district's consistent Democratic lean across the Mississippi Delta and parts of Jackson, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5%. Thompson secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 86% of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a close primary contest to face him and an independent in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and partisan voting patterns. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Thompson 62% in 2024. While a major scandal, health development, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, no recent events have altered the race's fundamentals ahead of Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$37,913 Vol.
$37,913 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$37,913 Vol.
$37,913 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$21,986 Vol.
93%
共和党
$15,927 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's long tenure since 1993, combined with the district's consistent Democratic lean across the Mississippi Delta and parts of Jackson, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5%. Thompson secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 86% of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a close primary contest to face him and an independent in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and partisan voting patterns. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Thompson 62% in 2024. While a major scandal, health development, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, no recent events have altered the race's fundamentals ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$37,913終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's long tenure since 1993, combined with the district's consistent Democratic lean across the Mississippi Delta and parts of Jackson, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5%. Thompson secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 86% of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a close primary contest to face him and an independent in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and partisan voting patterns. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Thompson 62% in 2024. While a major scandal, health development, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, no recent events have altered the race's fundamentals ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$37,913終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's long tenure since 1993, combined with the district's consistent Democratic lean across the Mississippi Delta and parts of Jackson, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5%. Thompson secured the March 2026 Democratic primary with over 86% of the vote, while Republican Ron Eller advanced from a close primary contest to face him and an independent in the November 3 general election. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins and partisan voting patterns. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district that delivered Thompson 62% in 2024. While a major scandal, health development, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, no recent events have altered the race's fundamentals ahead of Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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