The IA-02 race remains closely contested in trader pricing following the June 2 primaries, which nominated Democrat Lindsay James and Republican Joe Mitchell for the open seat previously held by Ashley Hinson. The district carries a modest Republican lean but has featured narrow general election margins in recent cycles, with both nominees holding state legislative experience that could support strong local outreach and turnout efforts. Early positioning reflects uncertainty around midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising trajectories, and potential national messaging on issues such as agriculture policy and economic conditions. Separation could emerge from initial public polling, Federal Election Commission filings showing resource advantages, or campaign events that highlight differences in legislative records and endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
51%
民主党
51%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$1,131 Vol.
51%
民主党
$2,258 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-02 race remains closely contested in trader pricing following the June 2 primaries, which nominated Democrat Lindsay James and Republican Joe Mitchell for the open seat previously held by Ashley Hinson. The district carries a modest Republican lean but has featured narrow general election margins in recent cycles, with both nominees holding state legislative experience that could support strong local outreach and turnout efforts. Early positioning reflects uncertainty around midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising trajectories, and potential national messaging on issues such as agriculture policy and economic conditions. Separation could emerge from initial public polling, Federal Election Commission filings showing resource advantages, or campaign events that highlight differences in legislative records and endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$3,389終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The IA-02 race remains closely contested in trader pricing following the June 2 primaries, which nominated Democrat Lindsay James and Republican Joe Mitchell for the open seat previously held by Ashley Hinson. The district carries a modest Republican lean but has featured narrow general election margins in recent cycles, with both nominees holding state legislative experience that could support strong local outreach and turnout efforts. Early positioning reflects uncertainty around midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising trajectories, and potential national messaging on issues such as agriculture policy and economic conditions. Separation could emerge from initial public polling, Federal Election Commission filings showing resource advantages, or campaign events that highlight differences in legislative records and endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,389終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The IA-02 race remains closely contested in trader pricing following the June 2 primaries, which nominated Democrat Lindsay James and Republican Joe Mitchell for the open seat previously held by Ashley Hinson. The district carries a modest Republican lean but has featured narrow general election margins in recent cycles, with both nominees holding state legislative experience that could support strong local outreach and turnout efforts. Early positioning reflects uncertainty around midterm dynamics, candidate fundraising trajectories, and potential national messaging on issues such as agriculture policy and economic conditions. Separation could emerge from initial public polling, Federal Election Commission filings showing resource advantages, or campaign events that highlight differences in legislative records and endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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